High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 221550
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 24.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 13.1N 102.5W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
22 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W SW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 14.4N 105.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY 18N110W TO 15N90W TO 03.4S110W TO 01S120W TO 18N110W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.9N 109.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
360 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N110W TO 16N100W TO 03N120W TO 06N125W
TO 22N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.5N 117.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.5N 121.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.0N 135.6W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
22 MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...105 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.6N 134.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.8N 131.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...40 NM NW QUADRANT AND
60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.0N 129.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 20.7N 130.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 22.3N
133.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 22.1N 124.1W 993 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
22 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 140 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
270 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 360 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 24.3N 126.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM
SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL LOWELL NEAR 25.9N 129.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. GALE FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 17 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 27.2N
131.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 29.1N
135.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 31.0N
139.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 26N130W TO
26N115W TO 10N115W TO 11N140W TO 26N130W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 10N W OF 115W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXPECT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 10N W OF 125W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC FRI AUG 22...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF
CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT AND SW QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 10N93W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH E OF
85W. WITHIN 150 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 95W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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