Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 230541
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1141 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING SOME FOR THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH MVFR CIGS PREVAILING. AS THE POTENTIAL FOR
DRIZZLE INCREASES OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, EXPECT CIGS TO
DROP TO IFR AND POSSIBLY EVEN NEAR LIFR CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY
REDUCED VISIBILITIES AS WELL. HOWEVER, SUSTAINED WINDS OF 7-10KTS
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY SHOULD REDUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
FOG DEVELOPMENT AND THUS IT SHOULD LIMIT JUST HOW LOW VISIBILITIES
DROP. THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT RAIN INCREASES LATE MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS, AND MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY SO HAVE KEPT THE MENTION OF VCTS IN
THE TAFS. A COLD FRONT WILL TRACK EASTWARD DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON HOURS, RESULTING IN WINDS VEERING FROM SOUTH TO
NORTHWEST AND WIND SPEEDS INCREASING BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUSTS
OF AT LEAST 20-30KTS. THESE WINDS WILL USHER COOLER AIR INTO THE
REGION, RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION FINALLY EXITS THE TAF SITES BY LATE EVENING.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          504 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 508 PM):        200FT  180/18 MPH
                                      400FT  180/25 MPH
                                      600FT  184/30 MPH
                                      800FT  185/34 MPH
                                     1000FT  187/35 MPH
                                     1500FT  190/35 MPH
                                     2000FT  195/39 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 166/11 MPH
                                       81FT  169/18 MPH
                                      234FT  170/21 MPH
                                      500FT  174/27 MPH
                                      894FT  179/30 MPH
                                     1406FT  187/36 MPH
                                     2034FT  195/44 MPH
                                     2731FT  198/48 MPH
                                     3508FT  199/45 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 168/09 MPH
                                       82FT  171/16 MPH
                                      234FT  173/19 MPH
                                      500FT  177/25 MPH
                                      892FT  181/29 MPH
                                     1408FT  189/35 MPH
                                     2033FT  197/40 MPH
                                     2731FT  201/43 MPH
                                     3506FT  202/44 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 162/08 MPH
                                       87FT  166/16 MPH
                                      240FT  167/18 MPH
                                      504FT  174/24 MPH
                                      898FT  181/29 MPH
                                     1408FT  189/35 MPH
                                     2033FT  197/40 MPH
                                     2731FT  201/43 MPH
                                     3506FT  202/44 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        714 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  170/08 MPH
                    9 AM  160/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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