River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 021523
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1117 AM EDT Mon May 02 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.92 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     4.0/     4.2
.E2 :0503:/     4.2/     4.1/     4.0/     3.8
.E3 :0504:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7/     3.6
.E4 :0505:/     3.6/     3.6
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.52 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.6
.E2 :0503:/     3.0/     3.3/     3.4/     3.3
.E3 :0504:/     3.1/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8
.E4 :0505:/     2.7/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.29/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.04 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.2
.E2 :0503:/     2.4/     2.6/     2.7/     2.9
.E3 :0504:/     3.1/     3.4/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :0505:/     3.3/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.24/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.91 ft at May-02 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.3
.E2 :0503:/     3.1/     2.8/     2.7/     2.6
.E3 :0504:/     2.4/     2.3/     2.1/     2.0
.E4 :0505:/     2.0/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.95 ft at May-02 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     2.4/     3.1
.E2 :0503:/     2.6/     2.2/     1.9/     1.7
.E3 :0504:/     1.6/     1.5/     1.4/     1.3
.E4 :0505:/     1.2/     1.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.21/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.45 ft at May-02 10:47 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.8
.E2 :0503:/     5.0/     4.8/     4.6/     4.4
.E3 :0504:/     4.3/     4.2/     4.1/     4.0
.E4 :0505:/     3.9/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.25/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.51 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.7
.E2 :0503:/     3.6/     3.5/     3.4/     3.2
.E3 :0504:/     3.1/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8
.E4 :0505:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.75 ft at May-02 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     2.9/     2.9
.E2 :0503:/     3.0/     3.1/     3.1/     3.1
.E3 :0504:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8/     2.7
.E4 :0505:/     2.6/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.24/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.80 ft at May-02 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     5.9/     6.0
.E2 :0503:/     5.9/     5.8/     5.7/     5.6
.E3 :0504:/     5.5/     5.4/     5.3/     5.3
.E4 :0505:/     5.2/     5.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.73 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/    10.8/    11.1
.E2 :0503:/    11.3/    11.4/    11.3/    11.2
.E3 :0504:/    11.0/    10.9/    10.7/    10.6
.E4 :0505:/    10.5/    10.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 597.18 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:Crest 612.38 at May-04 2am
:
.ER MMDN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/   597.9/   602.2
.E2 :0503:/   605.4/   608.3/   610.3/   611.8
.E3 :0504:/   612.4/   612.4/   611.9/   610.8
.E4 :0505:/   609.3/   607.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.28/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 19.78 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:Crest 24.67 at May-04 2pm
:
.ER AVON6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/    20.3/    21.5
.E2 :0503:/    22.6/    23.3/    23.7/    24.1
.E3 :0504:/    24.5/    24.6/    24.7/    24.6
.E4 :0505:/    24.5/    24.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.32/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.99 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.2
.E2 :0503:/     3.4/     3.7/     4.1/     4.2
.E3 :0504:/     4.1/     4.0/     3.8/     3.6
.E4 :0505:/     3.5/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.21 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.4
.E2 :0503:/     2.6/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :0504:/     2.6/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4
.E4 :0505:/     2.3/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.28/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.56 ft at May-02 08:00 am
:Crest 8.78 at May-04 8am
:
.ER RHRN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     6.8/     7.2
.E2 :0503:/     7.6/     8.1/     8.4/     8.7
.E3 :0504:/     8.8/     8.8/     8.7/     8.6
.E4 :0505:/     8.5/     8.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.29/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.23 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     1.2/     1.5
.E2 :0503:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.7/     1.5
.E3 :0504:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.3/     1.3
.E4 :0505:/     1.3/     1.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.31/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 688.42 ft at May-02 08:00 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/   688.5/   688.5
.E2 :0503:/   688.5/   688.6/   688.6/   688.6
.E3 :0504:/   688.6/   688.6/   688.6/   688.6
.E4 :0505:/   688.6/   688.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.30/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.48 ft at May-02 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.6
.E2 :0503:/     3.6/     3.9/     4.0/     4.1
.E3 :0504:/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1
.E4 :0505:/     4.1/     4.0
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.94 ft at May-02 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.1
.E2 :0503:/     5.3/     5.6/     5.8/     5.8
.E3 :0504:/     5.7/     5.6/     5.4/     5.2
.E4 :0505:/     5.1/     5.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.44/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.80 ft at May-02 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     2.8/     3.1
.E2 :0503:/     3.3/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :0504:/     3.5/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2
.E4 :0505:/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.38/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.73 ft at May-02 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20160502 E DC201605021117/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0502:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.8
.E2 :0503:/     3.9/     4.0/     4.1/     4.1
.E3 :0504:/     4.2/     4.3/     4.3/     4.4
.E4 :0505:/     4.4/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.33/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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