River Forecast
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FGUS54 KFWR 301425
RVFLCH
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NWS WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER, FORT WORTH,TX
0924 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016


:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST
:CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS WEATHER
:FORECAST OFFICES.


:   FORECAST GROUP IS NECHES RIVER BASIN
:
:
:   FORECASTS INCLUDE 12 HOURS OF FUTURE RAINFALL
:
:*************************************************************************
:Town Bluff - Neches River
:ZERO DATUM       0.00 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    64.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  68.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  72.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  82.50 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    67.87 FT AT 0800 CDT ON 0430
.AR : CREST : TBFT2 0430 C DC201604300904/DH19/HGIFFX     68.0
.ER TBFT2    0430 C DC201604300904/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      67.9 /      68.0 /      68.0
.E2 :0501:    /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0
.E3 :0502:    /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0
.E4 :0503:    /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0
.E5 :0504:    /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0 /      68.0
.E6 :0505:    /      68.0
:

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  B.A. STEINHAGEN RELEASE IS 20000 CFS
: REMAIN STEADY NEAR FLOOD STAGE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
: LOCAL WILL TAKE IT TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE

:*************************************************************************
:Evadale - Neches River
:ZERO DATUM       8.25 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    16.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  17.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  20.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  24.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    17.22 FT AT 0800 CDT ON 0430
.AR : CREST : EVDT2 0501 C DC201604300905/DH19/HGIFFX     18.3
.ER EVDT2    0430 C DC201604300905/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      17.3 /      17.5 /      17.7
.E2 :0501:    /      17.9 /      18.1 /      18.3 /      18.3
.E3 :0502:    /      18.3 /      18.2 /      18.1 /      18.0
.E4 :0503:    /      17.9 /      17.7 /      17.6 /      17.4
.E5 :0504:    /      17.3 /      17.2 /      17.2 /      17.2
.E6 :0505:    /      17.2
:
.ER EVDT2    0430 C DC201604300905/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      1.55 /      0.10
.ER EVDT2    0430 C DC201604300905/DH13/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 1.65

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  NEW RISE EXPECTED WITH RAINFALL. HIGH RUNOFF EFFICENCIES FROM HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT SATURDAY AM HAS CAUSED THE FORECAST TO INCREASE OVER PREV FORECAST. B.A. STEINHAGEN RELEASES ALSO INFLUENCING FORECAST.

:*************************************************************************
:Kountze - Village Creek
:ZERO DATUM      25.12 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    12.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  17.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  21.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  23.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    11.45 FT AT 0830 CDT ON 0430
.AR : CREST : KOUT2 0502 C DC201604300920/DH13/HGIFFX     17.0
.ER KOUT2    0430 C DC201604300920/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      12.9 /      13.8 /      14.9
.E2 :0501:    /      15.6 /      16.1 /      16.5 /      16.8
.E3 :0502:    /      16.9 /      17.0 /      16.8 /      16.6
.E4 :0503:    /      16.4 /      16.0 /      15.6 /      15.2
.E5 :0504:    /      14.9 /      14.5 /      14.1 /      13.6
.E6 :0505:    /      12.8
:
.ER KOUT2    0430 C DC201604300920/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      0.70 /      0.07
.ER KOUT2    0430 C DC201604300920/DH13/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 0.77

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  CREST AT FLOOD STAGE DUE. QUICK RESPONSE IS DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER THE LOWER THIRD OF THE BASIN.

:*************************************************************************
:Sour Lake - Pine Island Bayou
:ZERO DATUM       0.00 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE    22.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE  25.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  29.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  32.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE    23.96 FT AT 0845 CDT ON 0430
.ER SOLT2    0430 C DC201604300920/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      23.7 /      23.6 /      23.6
.E2 :0501:    /      23.7 /      23.9 /      24.1 /      24.3
.E3 :0502:    /      24.5 /      24.6 /      24.7 /      24.8
.E4 :0503:    /      24.8 /      24.8 /      24.8 /      24.7
.E5 :0504:    /      24.6 /      24.5 /      24.4 /      24.3
.E6 :0505:    /      24.1
:
.ER SOLT2    0430 C DC201604300920/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      0.97 /      0.07
.ER SOLT2    0430 C DC201604300920/DH13/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 1.04

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  RISE TO FLOOD STAGE EXPECTED LATER THIS WEEK DUE TO ROUTED FLOW.

:*************************************************************************
:Beaumont - Neches River
:ZERO DATUM      -0.08 FT (NAVD88)
:ACTION STAGE     4.00 FT   FLOOD STAGE   4.00 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   7.00 FT   MAJOR STAGE  10.00 FT
:
:LATEST STAGE     4.40 FT AT 0800 CDT ON 0430
.AR : CREST : BEAT2 0503 C DC201604300923/DH19/HGIFFX      6.5
.ER BEAT2    0430 C DC201604300923/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST       7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /       4.4 /       4.5 /       4.6
.E2 :0501:    /       4.7 /       4.9 /       5.1 /       5.3
.E3 :0502:    /       5.5 /       5.7 /       5.9 /       6.0
.E4 :0503:    /       6.2 /       6.4 /       6.5 /       6.5
.E5 :0504:    /       6.5 /       6.4 /       6.3 /       6.2
.E6 :0505:    /       6.0
:
.ER BEAT2    0430 C DC201604300923/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST         7AM         1PM         7PM         1AM
.E1 :0430:             :: /      1.40 /      0.09
.ER BEAT2    0430 C DC201604300923/DH13/PPVFZ/DIH12/ 1.49

: FORECASTER COMMENT
:  RISE INTO FLOOD THIS WEEK EXPECTED WITH ROUTED FLOWS

:
:ksl
:
:
:...END OF MESSAGE...

$$



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