River Forecast
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787
FGUS51 KTIR 111305
RVFOHS
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:05am EST Thursday, February 11, 2016

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Newburgh Lock & Dam - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 330.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Warrick County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     56.6 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      56.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   48.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      38.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  37.5
:     Feb 10   /  36.9 /  36.3 /  35.5 /  34.7
:     Feb 11   /  33.8 /  32.7 /  31.7
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 31.7 ft at 700am EST on Thu, Feb 11
:
.ER NBGI3 20160211 Z DC201602111305/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 11 :                         /  30.4
.E2 : Feb 12 : /  28.4 /  26.0 /  24.4 /  23.2
.E3 : Feb 13 : /  22.4 /  21.7 /  21.1 /  20.6
.E4 : Feb 14 : /  20.2 /  19.7 /  19.2 /  18.7
.E5 : Feb 15 : /  18.3 /  18.0 /  17.8 /  17.6
.E6 : Feb 16 : /  17.4 /  17.3 /  17.2 /  17.1
.E7 : Feb 17 : /  17.1 /  17.0 /  17.0 /  16.9
.E8 : Feb 18 : /  16.8 /  16.8 /  16.7 /  16.7
.E9 : Feb 19 : /  16.6 /  16.6 /  16.6 /  16.6
.E10: Feb 20 : /  16.6 /  16.6 /  16.6 /  16.6
.E11: Feb 21 : /  16.7 /  16.7 /  16.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /  0.01
:     Feb 09   /  0.05 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Feb 10   /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 11                           /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /   2.4
:     Feb 09   /  -0.9 /  -4.8 /  -5.8 /  -5.6
:     Feb 10   /  -5.5 /  -6.8 /  -8.2 /  -8.1
:     Feb 11   /  -4.7 /  -5.6 /  -5.5 /  -5.3
:     Feb 12   /  -1.6 /  -3.8 /  -5.7 /  -3.7
:     Feb 13   /  -0.1 /  -5.4 /  -9.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Evansville - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 329.18 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Vanderburgh County, IN
: Record River Stage     53.8 ft
: Major River Stage      52.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   48.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      42.0 ft
: Action River Stage     24.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  35.0
:     Feb 10   /  34.5 /  34.0 /  33.3 /  32.6
:     Feb 11   /  31.8 /  30.8 /  29.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 29.9 ft at 700am EST on Thu, Feb 11
:
.ER EVVI3 20160211 Z DC201602111305/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 11 :                         /  29.2
.E2 : Feb 12 : /  27.9 /  26.3 /  24.6 /  22.8
.E3 : Feb 13 : /  21.7 /  21.0 /  20.5 /  20.0
.E4 : Feb 14 : /  19.6 /  19.1 /  18.6 /  18.2
.E5 : Feb 15 : /  17.8 /  17.5 /  17.2 /  16.9
.E6 : Feb 16 : /  16.8 /  16.7 /  16.6 /  16.5
.E7 : Feb 17 : /  16.5 /  16.4 /  16.4 /  16.3
.E8 : Feb 18 : /  16.3 /  16.3 /  16.2 /  16.2
.E9 : Feb 19 : /  16.2 /  16.2 /  16.2 /  16.2
.E10: Feb 20 : /  16.3 /  16.2 /  16.2 /  16.3
.E11: Feb 21 : /  16.3 /  16.3 /  16.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /  0.00
:     Feb 09   /  0.06 /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 11                           /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /   2.2
:     Feb 09   /  -1.1 /  -4.7 /  -5.8 /  -5.7
:     Feb 10   /  -5.6 /  -6.6 /  -8.3 /  -7.9
:     Feb 11   /  -4.7 /  -5.4 /  -5.1 /  -4.7
:     Feb 12   /  -1.7 /  -3.8 /  -5.5 /  -3.6
:     Feb 13   /   0.2 /  -5.0 /  -9.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Mount Vernon - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 318.92 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Posey County, IN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      52.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      35.0 ft
: Action River Stage     28.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  34.7E
:     Feb 10   /  34.5E/  34.3E/  33.9E/  33.5E
:     Feb 11   /  33.1E/  32.6E/  32.0E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER MTVI3 20160211 Z DC201602111305/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 11 :                         /  31.3
.E2 : Feb 12 : /  30.4 /  29.5 /  28.7 /  27.9
.E3 : Feb 13 : /  26.7 /  25.8 /  25.4 /  25.1
.E4 : Feb 14 : /  24.9 /  24.7 /  24.5 /  24.4
.E5 : Feb 15 : /  24.3 /  24.2 /  24.2 /  24.1
.E6 : Feb 16 : /  24.1 /  24.0 /  24.0 /  24.0
.E7 : Feb 17 : /  24.0 /  24.0 /  23.9 /  23.9
.E8 : Feb 18 : /  23.9 /  23.9 /  23.9 /  23.9
.E9 : Feb 19 : /  23.9 /  23.9 /  23.8 /  23.8
.E10: Feb 20 : /  23.8 /  23.8 /  23.8 /  23.8
.E11: Feb 21 : /  23.8 /  23.8 /  23.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /  0.00
:     Feb 09   /  0.06 /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 11                           /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /   1.9
:     Feb 09   /  -1.3 /  -4.9 /  -6.0 /  -5.9
:     Feb 10   /  -6.0 /  -7.0 /  -9.0 /  -8.2
:     Feb 11   /  -4.6 /  -5.7 /  -5.5 /  -5.1
:     Feb 12   /  -1.9 /  -4.0 /  -5.6 /  -3.6
:     Feb 13   /   0.3 /  -4.9 /  -9.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: J T Myers Dam - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 311.97 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Union County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     64.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      60.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      37.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     33.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  35.7
:     Feb 10   /  35.6 /  35.5 /  35.3 /  35.0
:     Feb 11   /  34.7 /  34.3 /  33.8
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 33.8 ft at 700am EST on Thu, Feb 11
:
.ER UNWK2 20160211 Z DC201602111305/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 11 :                         /  33.2
.E2 : Feb 12 : /  32.5 /  31.7 /  30.8 /  29.7
.E3 : Feb 13 : /  28.4 /  26.7 /  25.1 /  24.0
.E4 : Feb 14 : /  23.3 /  22.7 /  22.3 /  21.8
.E5 : Feb 15 : /  21.3 /  20.9 /  20.5 /  20.2
.E6 : Feb 16 : /  19.8 /  19.5 /  19.2 /  18.9
.E7 : Feb 17 : /  18.8 /  18.6 /  18.4 /  18.2
.E8 : Feb 18 : /  18.1 /  17.9 /  17.8 /  17.6
.E9 : Feb 19 : /  17.5 /  17.4 /  17.3 /  17.2
.E10: Feb 20 : /  17.2 /  17.1 /  17.1 /  17.1
.E11: Feb 21 : /  17.0 /  17.0 /  17.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /  0.01
:     Feb 09   /  0.04 /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 11                           /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /   1.9
:     Feb 09   /  -1.2 /  -4.7 /  -5.9 /  -5.9
:     Feb 10   /  -6.0 /  -7.4 /  -9.1 /  -8.1
:     Feb 11   /  -4.5 /  -6.0 /  -5.6 /  -5.0
:     Feb 12   /  -1.9 /  -3.9 /  -5.6 /  -3.5
:     Feb 13   /   0.6 /  -4.7 /  -9.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Shawneetown - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 309.07 ft (Ohio River)
: Gallatin County, IL
: Record River Stage     65.6 ft
: Major River Stage      53.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   43.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      33.0 ft
: Action River Stage     30.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  33.6
:     Feb 10   /  33.6 /  33.5 /  33.4 /  33.1
:     Feb 11   /  32.8 /  32.6 /  32.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 32.3 ft at 800am EST on Thu, Feb 11
:
.ER SHNI2 20160211 Z DC201602111305/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 11 :                         /  31.8
.E2 : Feb 12 : /  31.3 /  30.6 /  29.9 /  28.9
.E3 : Feb 13 : /  27.9 /  26.6 /  25.3 /  24.1
.E4 : Feb 14 : /  23.1 /  22.5 /  21.8 /  21.2
.E5 : Feb 15 : /  20.7 /  20.2 /  19.8 /  19.4
.E6 : Feb 16 : /  19.0 /  18.7 /  18.6 /  18.4
.E7 : Feb 17 : /  18.3 /  18.2 /  18.1 /  18.0
.E8 : Feb 18 : /  17.9 /  17.8 /  17.7 /  17.6
.E9 : Feb 19 : /  17.5 /  17.5 /  17.4 /  17.4
.E10: Feb 20 : /  17.3 /  17.3 /  17.3 /  17.3
.E11: Feb 21 : /  17.3 /  17.2 /  17.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /  0.01
:     Feb 09   /  0.05 /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 11                           /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /   1.3
:     Feb 09   /  -1.9 /  -5.3 /  -6.3 /  -6.3
:     Feb 10   /  -6.3 /  -7.7 /  -9.4 /  -8.4
:     Feb 11   /  -5.2 /  -6.2 /  -5.8 /  -5.3
:     Feb 12   /  -2.3 /  -4.2 /  -5.7 /  -3.6
:     Feb 13   /   0.2 /  -5.1 /  -9.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Golconda - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 294.6 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Pope County, IL
: Record River Stage     62.6 ft
: Major River Stage      55.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  35.6
:     Feb 10   /  35.6 /  35.6 /  35.6 /  35.5
:     Feb 11   /  35.4 /  35.2 /  34.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 34.9 ft at 700am EST on Thu, Feb 11
:
.ER GOLI2 20160211 Z DC201602111305/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 11 :                         /  34.7
.E2 : Feb 12 : /  34.4 /  34.1 /  33.8 /  33.5
.E3 : Feb 13 : /  33.2 /  32.9 /  32.7 /  32.2
.E4 : Feb 14 : /  31.6 /  31.0 /  30.6 /  30.3
.E5 : Feb 15 : /  30.1 /  30.0 /  29.9 /  29.9
.E6 : Feb 16 : /  29.8 /  29.8 /  29.8 /  29.7
.E7 : Feb 17 : /  29.7 /  29.7 /  29.7 /  29.6
.E8 : Feb 18 : /  29.6 /  29.6 /  29.6 /  29.6
.E9 : Feb 19 : /  29.6 /  29.6 /  29.6 /  29.6
.E10: Feb 20 : /  29.6 /  29.6 /  29.6 /  29.6
.E11: Feb 21 : /  29.6 /  29.6 /  29.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /  0.01
:     Feb 09   /  0.04 /  0.05 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Feb 10   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 11                           /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 08                           /   2.3
:     Feb 09   /  -0.6 /  -4.0 /  -5.4 /  -5.9
:     Feb 10   /  -5.6 /  -7.2 /  -8.2 /  -7.6
:     Feb 11   /  -4.8 /  -5.5 /  -4.8 /  -4.4
:     Feb 12   /  -1.0 /  -3.4 /  -5.3 /  -2.9
:     Feb 13   /   1.4 /  -4.2 /  -8.8
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Mark J Fenbers
:...END of MESSAGE...




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