Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 031054
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/03/15 1054Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1045Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:0729Z  QMORPH MICROWAVE RAIN AMOUNT ESTIMATES THROUGH 10Z
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LOCATION...E NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...E GEORGIA...
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ATTN WFOS...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...PLUMEOF MOISTURE, WEAK MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TRYING TO LIFT
NORTHEAST AND HELPING TO ORGANIZE RAINFALL BETTER EASTERN CAROLINA TO
THE E CENTRAL GA BORDER..
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HEALTHY MOISTURE PLUME OR CONCENTRATION OF
HIGHEST MOISTURE CENTERED FL TO EASTERN GA...CENTRAL AND EASTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTH TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.  NOT ONLY IS THERE 1.6"-1.8" PWAT
VALUES IN THE PLUME OR UP TO 160 PERCENT OF NORMAL..BUT THE PLUME EXTENDED
TO WESTERN CUBA AND EVEN FURTHER SOUTH AND SW TO CENTRAL AMERICA.  AND IF
THAT WAS NOT ENOUGH..LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT WINDS, THOUGH LIGHT
WERE BLOWING NEARLY PARALLEL THE PLUME FOR MORE EFFICIENT PRODUCTION
OF RAINFALL I THE RIGHT FORCING IS AVAILABLE.  THE FORCING AWAYS FROM
THE COAST WAS MAINLY THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SE TN/NC BORDER AREA WITH A
STRONGER BUT STILL WEAK SHORT WAVE LIFTING NORTH/NE THR EASTERN GA AND
WILL HELP FURTHER INCREASE THE SQUEEZING OUT OF THE MOISTURE OVER THE
SOUTH CAROLINA AND DOING THE SAME MAINLY FOR EASTERN  NORTH CAROLINA.
LATEST QMORPH MICROWAVE 6HR RAIN ACCUMULATIONS THRU 10Z HAD AN AREAL
AVERAGE 0.75"-1.0" JUST OFFSHORE SC...SO THESE TYPES OF AMOUNTS IN THE
COASTAL AREAS CAN OCCUR THIS MORNING WITH CERTAINLY ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF
2-3 INCHES.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1045-1345Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...CONSOLIDATION OF COOL CLOUD TOPS OCCURRING AS I
SPEAK JUST OFFSHORE AND INLAND SOUTH CAROLINA AND WILL BE DOING THE SAME
DURING THIS PERIOD.  NOT A WHOLE OF PUSH UPSTREAM TO TAKE THE PLUME AND
TROUGH EAST VERY QUICKLY, SO MOST EVERYTHING SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH
TO NE.  MID SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AND INLAND TO SE AND E CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA, DESPITE RELATIVELY DRY SOILS THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS...CAN
EXPECT LOCALY HVY RAINS...MAYBE AS HIGH AS 1"/HR, ISOLATED 1.5"-1.8"
THAT CAN RESULT IN URBAN TYPE FLOODING.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3588 7743 3556 7587 3173 7937 3231 8141
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