Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 250019
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250018
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-250145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1392
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0718 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO THROUGH EXTREME WRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 414...

VALID 250018Z - 250145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 414
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND AND HAIL THROUGH 02Z. STORM INTENSITIES APPEAR TO HAVE
PEAKED...AND AN OVERALL DECREASE IS EXPECTED BY 0130Z.

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER ERN CO WITHIN LOW-LEVEL
ELY FLOW REGIME. SOME MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES REMAIN
POSSIBLE...BUT TREND HAS BEEN FOR ACTIVITY TO CONSOLIDATE INTO
LINEAR SEGMENTS ALONG MERGING COLD POOLS. ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NARROW CORRIDOR OF STRONG INSTABILITY /1500-2000 J/KG
MLCAPE/ NEXT HOUR OR SO. HOWEVER...MOST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN TOWARD THE CO/KS BORDER AS THEY MOVE EAST OF INSTABILITY AXIS
AND AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO STABILIZE. A COUPLE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS MIGHT PERSIST FOR AN HOUR OR SO BEYOND 02Z INTO FAR
WRN KS.

..DIAL.. 07/25/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON   40740247 40140206 39220160 38610180 38710270 39410301
            40180322 40740247




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