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000
FNUS75 KGJT 240918
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Avalanche Creek Bravo...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
318 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...One more dry day on tap with similar conditions as
the past few days with gusty afternoon winds expected under well
above normal temperatures. Moisture increases overnight as the
next storm system approaches. Clouds spread over during the
late morning on Thursday which should turn to good chances of
wetting rainfall in the afternoon along with a rumble of
thunder. Wet and cooler conditions continue through the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....75-78.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds through 1100 then
                    South 7 to 12 mph with occasional gusts 20
                    to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent by peak heating.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 11000 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Southwest 28 mph after 1200.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....38-43.
Max humidity........40-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 3 to 7 mph after sunset.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft) overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 6 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) by 1300 with
                    showers developing and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................40 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming West at
                    7 to 12 mph by 1300. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Alexander Farinetti
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412089.0/GJT
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alexander.farinetti@usda.gov