000
FXUS64 KHUN 191734
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1234 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 1134 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013/
UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS NOW OVER THE MS/AL STATE LINE WHICH PUTS THE ERN
HALF OF OUR CWA IN NW FLOW. THERE WERE A FEW UPPER DISTURBANCES
CAUGHT UP IN THIS NW FLOW WHICH WAS DUMPING VERY HVY RAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF ERN TN AND THE NRN HALF OF GA. AS THIS RIDGE BUILDS EAST
THIS AFTN...THE CHC OF PCPN ACROSS THE TN VALLEY WILL TAPER OFF. FOR
NOW WILL GO WITH A LOW POP (20/30 PERCENT) FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND
EAST OF I65...WEST OF I65 WILL END THE CHC OF PCPN. NO SVR WX IS
EXPECTED THIS AFTN...HOWEVER A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP
TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HVY RAIN.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS...UPPER RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE
TN VALLEY THIS AFTN/EVENING. AS A RESULT THE CHC OF SHRA/TSRA WILL
TAPER OFF. BASED ON RADAR TRENDS KHSV STILL HAS A CHC OF VCSH OR
VCTS THRU 00Z TONIGHT. ENOUGH SUBSIDENCE...DUE TO RIDGING...OVER NW
AL SHOULD KEEP KMSL PCPN FREE. AFTER 00Z THE CHC OF PCPN SHOULD BE
OVER ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA. EXCEPT FOR MVFR CONDITIONS DUE TO
CEILINGS/VSBYS BETWEEN 10Z AND 14Z AT BOTH TAF SITES...VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED.

07

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.