Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 281127
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
527 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING SOUTHEAST OF THE MIDSOUTH EARLY THIS
MORNING. LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PUSH COLDER AIR INTO
THE AREA TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRACKING TO THE SOUTH
WILL CAUSE RAIN TO SPREAD BACK ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH TODAY
INTO THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST POPS FROM EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
INTO PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI. COLD HIGH
PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE MIDSOUTH WEATHER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION FREE
WEATHER MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. A MIXTURE OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY OCCUR
MAINLY FROM PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
INTO PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-282330-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
527 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.03         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-14)     27 (-10)     42
RH % (24H TREND)      78 (-10)     96 (-3)      53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 5-9                     NE 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 3-7        LGT/VAR      NE 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    686                       689
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2250                      2262
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    772                       776
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2532                      2545
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  4                      E  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      E  9
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3088                      3104
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 38                        39
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  5                      NE  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 11                      NE 12
DISPERSION INDEX      29           7            19
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3            4            4
STABILITY             D            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLEET. A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN.
RAIN LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...
THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-282330-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
527 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.10         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      41 (-14)     32 (-9)      45
RH % (24H TREND)      86 (-4)      94 (-5)      54
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 6-10                    NE 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 3-7        LGT/VAR      NE 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    680                       626
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2231                      2055
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    742                       689
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2435                      2259
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  4                      NE  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      NE  7
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2968                      2067
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 41                        44
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  5                      NE  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 12                      NE 11
DISPERSION INDEX      29           14           16
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            4            3
STABILITY             D            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SLEET. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...
THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-282330-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
527 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-12)     28 (-10)     43
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (+2)      96 (-2)      54
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 4-8                     NE 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 3-7        LGT/VAR      N 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    597                       629
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1958                      2065
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    718                       751
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2356                      2463
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  4                      E  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      E  7
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2872                      2253
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 39                        40
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  5                      NE  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 11                      NE 10
DISPERSION INDEX      26           12           19
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            4            4
STABILITY             D            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW. A CHANCE OF FREEZING
RAIN. RAIN LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-282330-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
527 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.11         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   12 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      41 (-12)     31 (-11)     45
RH % (24H TREND)      89 (+15)     98 (+2)      55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 5-9                     NE 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 3-7        N 2-6        N 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    532                       593
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1745                      1945
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    653                       714
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2142                      2342
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  4                      E  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      E  6
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2612                      2142
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 41                        43
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  5                      NE  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 12                      NE  9
DISPERSION INDEX      28           15           15
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...THEN RAIN
LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-282330-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
527 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          50           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.26         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   12 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      44 (-12)     35 (-9)      48
RH % (24H TREND)      90 (+6)      98 (0)       56
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 6-10                    NE 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 3-7        N 2-6        N 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    515                       607
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1689                      1990
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    586                       678
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1924                      2225
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  4                      E  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      E  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2344                      1356
CATEGORY DAY          2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 45                        48
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  6                      NE  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 13                      NE  7
DISPERSION INDEX      34           15           11
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-282330-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
527 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          70           0
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.32         0.11         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           5
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      47 (-8)      36 (-10)     49
RH % (24H TREND)      90 (+15)     100 (+2)     60
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 6-10                    NE 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 4-8        NE 3-7       N 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    368                       516
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1207                      1694
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    492                       640
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1613                      2100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  3                      E  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      E  3
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1476                      1280
CATEGORY DAY          1                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 47                        48
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  5                      E  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 12                      E  6
DISPERSION INDEX      32           11           11
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SLEET. RAIN LIKELY. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

JCL



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