Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS54 KMEG 272009
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
309 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Mid-
South through the weekend. Some storms will be severe and will be
accompanied by heavy rainfall. The greatest threat for severe
weather Friday and Saturday will be north of I-40, then across all
of the Mid-South on Sunday. Expect persistent south winds of 10-20
mph through Saturday ahead of a cold front.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-281100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
309 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           70           50
Precip Type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.05         1.20         0.35
Precip Dur (hrs)                   2            8            3
Precip Begins                      7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      55 (+5)      79 (+14)     68           82
RH % (24h Trend)      92 (-6)      63 (+1)      98           63
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 7-11 G18               S 9-13 G21
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6       S 11-15 G21  S 6-10       S 11-15 G22
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 801                       1108
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2627                      3636
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 887                       1194
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2909                      3918
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      S 14
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 26                      S 31
Vent Index (m2/s)                  10644                     16716
Category Day                       4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N/A                       N/A
Dispersion Index      7            47           54           90
LAL                   1            3            5            5
LASI                  4            3            2            3
Stability             E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 50. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. West winds 10 to
15 mph becoming southwest around 5 mph late in the evening.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
southeast late in the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-281100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
309 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           40           40
Precip Type           NONE         showers      tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.23         0.19
Precip Dur (hrs)                                2            2
Precip Begins                                   6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends                                     Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      56 (+6)      82 (+15)     70           85
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (-3)      63 (+5)      92           57
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 7-11 G18               S 11-15 G24
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6       S 12-16 G21  S 9-13 G18   S 14-18 G25
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1291                      1391
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4237                      4563
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1354                      1453
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4441                      4767
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 14                      S 15
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 32                      S 33
Vent Index (m2/s)                  18956                     21795
Category Day                       5                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N/A                       N/A
Dispersion Index      7            44           57           93
LAL                   1            3            4            4
LASI                  4            3            2            3
Stability             F            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            2            1            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-281100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
309 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           60           20
Precip Type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.03         0.69         0.11
Precip Dur (hrs)                   2            2            1
Precip Begins                      7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (+2)      82 (+16)     68           85
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (-6)      58 (-4)      98           55
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 3-7                    S 6-10 G17
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 8-12       S 6-10       S 9-13 G18
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 795                       964
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2609                      3163
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 916                       1085
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3006                      3560
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      S 13
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 28                      S 30
Vent Index (m2/s)                  10992                     14105
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N/A                       N/A
Dispersion Index      7            56           62           79
LAL                   1            3            4            4
LASI                  4            3            3            3
Stability             F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph late in the
evening.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds around 5 mph becoming west late in the morning.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-281100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
309 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           40           20
Precip Type           NONE         showers      tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.26         0.08
Precip Dur (hrs)                                2            1
Precip Begins                                   6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends                                     Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      54 (+3)      83 (+16)     69           86
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (-5)      61 (-1)      95           54
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 4-8                    S 7-11 G17
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 8-12       S 7-11       S 9-13 G20
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1112                      1050
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3648                      3446
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1233                      1171
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4045                      3843
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 13                      S 14
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 30                      S 31
Vent Index (m2/s)                  16029                     16394
Category Day                       5                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N/A                       N/A
Dispersion Index      7            42           55           85
LAL                   1            3            4            4
LASI                  4            3            3            4
Stability             F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds around 5 mph becoming west late in the morning.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-281100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
309 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           20           20
Precip Type           NONE         showers      tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.03         0.07
Precip Dur (hrs)                                1            1
Precip Begins                                   6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends                                     Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      56 (+4)      83 (+14)     69           87
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (-1)      64 (+6)      98           53
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 6-10 G18                S 9-13 G22
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 10-14 G21  S 9-13 G19   S 13-17 G24
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1504                      1483
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4933                      4865
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1575                      1555
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5168                      5101
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 13                      S 15
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 30                      S 33
Vent Index (m2/s)                  20475                     23325
Category Day                       5                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N/A                       N/A
Dispersion Index      7            75           61           77
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                  4            3            3            4
Stability             F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
around 5 mph becoming east late in the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-281100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
309 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           10           10
Precip Type           NONE         showers      tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      56 (+1)      85 (+16)     69           89
RH % (24h Trend)      95 (-1)      59 (+2)      95           47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 4-8                     S 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 8-12       S 8-12       S 10-14 G19
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1253                      1223
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4111                      4011
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1377                      1347
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4517                      4418
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      S 15
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 28                      S 33
Vent Index (m2/s)                  16524                     20205
Category Day                       5                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N/A                       N/A
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N/A                       N/A
Dispersion Index      5            59           57           77
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                  4            3            3            3
Stability             F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph becoming southwest late in the morning.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.