Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 050838
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

...WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO FIRE SPREAD AND GROWTH...

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL SPREAD BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND
TENNESSEE VALLEY, STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS MAY BE STRONG AT TIMES TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS...WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. COLDER AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT
LATE IN THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   42-47 (+5)   50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-15)  93-98 (-3)   74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G30
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5 G17     S  7 G24
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            5
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.64         0.59
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     S 16
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G30
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        E  6 G17     S  9 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   39-44 (+2)   48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-17)  95-100 (+1)  77-82
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G16                 SE 18 G45
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G30    SW 10 G31
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            5
PRECIP BEGIN          3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.74         0.51
LAL                   1            2            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S 18
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G16                 SE 23 G45
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 14 G30    SW 12 G31

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID
TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-060945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   40-45 (+1)   52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-23)  95-100 (0)   74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 19 G53
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G33    SW 14 G40
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.98         0.30
LAL                   1            2            2
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SW 24
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      S 24 G53
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 12 G33    SW 18 G40

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-060945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+10)  44-49 (+4)   55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-12)  95-100 (0)   73-78
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 15 G40
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G28    SW  9 G27
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         1.11         0.19
LAL                   1            2            2
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SW 24
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               41 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S 19 G40
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G28    SW 11 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-060945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  45-50 (+6)   55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   95-100 (0)   75-80
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G31
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G30    SW  8 G24
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         1.11         0.21
LAL                   1            2            2
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SW 21
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               32 FAIR
MAX LVORI             8                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 13 G30    SW 10 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   42-47 (+3)   53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-12)  95-100 (0)   74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G28
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        E  5 G15     SW  8 G21
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            5
PRECIP BEGIN          3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.78         0.49
LAL                   1            2            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SW 18
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   23 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        E  6 G15     SW 10 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   43-48 (+4)   54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-16)  95-100 (+1)  76-81
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        E  5         SW  8 G23
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.95         0.30
LAL                   1            2            2
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SW 24
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S 10 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        E  6         SW 11 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-060945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
338 AM EST MON DEC 5 2016 /238 AM CST MON DEC 5 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+8)   46-51 (+6)   56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-10)  95-100 (+1)  70-75
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S  9 G25
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NE  7 G19    SW  9 G23
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         1.14         0.11
LAL                   1            2            2
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SW 24
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               63 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     S 12 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        NE  8 G19    SW 11 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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