Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 081652
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY BRINGING
WITH IT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE. A
STRONG SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH MID-
WEEK WITH DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS LIKELY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES IS LIKELY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   20-25 (-8)   24-29
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+19)  88-93 (+5)   56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  9
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           70
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.10         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 21
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   33 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         W 11 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 12 TO 22. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 14 TO 27. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 17 TO 28. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   18-23 (-9)   22-27
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+13)  89-94 (+10)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         W 11 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.13         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 23
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W 13 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  8 G17     W 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 11 TO 20. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS 13 TO 24. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 3 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-091800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   16-21 (-11)  23-28
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+13)  95-100 (+7)  54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     W  9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  7         W  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.18         0.14
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 21
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     W 12 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  8 G17     W 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 3 TO 21. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 7 TO 25. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 12 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-091800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   19-24 (-9)   25-30
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  87-92 (-2)   53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         W  8
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           70
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.13         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 20
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   33 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  7 G15     W 10 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 20.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 14 TO
28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 3 TO 13. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-091800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   18-23 (-8)   25-30
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+12)  93-98 (+1)   52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         W  9 G16
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           60
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.13         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 22
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  7 G15     W 11 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
11 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
17 TO 28. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 12. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   21-26 (-8)   26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+12)  88-93 (+6)   54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           70
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.12         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 21
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W 12 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         W  7         W 12 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 17 TO 28. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 14. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   21-26 (-9)   26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  79-84 (-5)   51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         W  7
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           70
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.11         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 20
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     W  9 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  7 G15     W  9 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO 22.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 17 TO
28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 5 TO 15. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016 /1052 AM CST MON FEB 8 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   21-26 (-10)  26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  84-89 (-1)   51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         W  8
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.07         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 21
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  8 G16     W 10 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 10 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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