Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 231916
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
After rainfall today another round of of precipitation will move
in early tomorrow. Over the next several days relative humidity
values will stay elevated and winds will remain light.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (0)    66-71 (+2)   50-55        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  64-69 (-11)  95-100       60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G25                 SW  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G29     SW  5 G19    W 11 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           80           50           70
Precip duration       1            8            1            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.72         0.21         0.35
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      7200
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      SW 17
Dispersion                         55 Gen good               78 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G25                 SW  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G29     SW  6 G19    W 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 50. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (-1)   64-69 (+2)   48-53        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  60-65 (-19)  90-95        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G27                 W  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G29     W  5         W 13 G31
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           90           60           70
Precip duration       1            8            3            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.86         0.38         0.31
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5700                      8100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      W 21
Dispersion                         49 Gen good               94 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 10 G27                 W 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G29     W  6         W 16 G31

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-242030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (0)    63-68 (+2)   47-52        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  61-66 (-17)  90-95        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G29                  W  8 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G31    W  6 G15     W 13 G30
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           80           70           50
Precip duration       1            5            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.07         0.84         0.34         0.22
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      8500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      W 22
Dispersion                         61 Good                   99 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G29                  W 10 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         SW 14 G31    W  8 G15     W 16 G30

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s to mid
50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-242030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (0)    66-71 (+2)   48-53        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  63-68 (-11)  94-99        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G25                  SW  6 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G27    LGT/VAR      W 12 G27
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           80           70           50
Precip duration       2            5            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.10         0.74         0.24         0.15
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      8500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     W 18
Dispersion                         58 Gen good               103 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G25                  SW  8 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G27    W  6         W 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-242030-
Nantahala National Forest-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   66-71 (+2)   47-52        64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   64-69 (-10)  95-100       50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G20                  W  5 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G22    LGT/VAR      W 11 G27
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           60           40
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.79         0.21         0.16
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      9000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 17
DISPERSION                         65 Good                   102 Very good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G20                  W  7 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    W  5         W 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242030-
East Tennessee District East-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (-3)   69-74 (+3)   51-56        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  57-62 (-17)  91-96        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G22                 W  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G25     W  6 G20     W 13 G28
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           80           50           70
Precip duration       1            5            1            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.74         0.21         0.32
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      W 21
Dispersion                         55 Gen good               96 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  7 G22                 W 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G25     W  8 G20     W 16 G28

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242030-
East Tennessee District West-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (-1)   66-71 (-1)   50-55        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  60-65 (-6)   91-96        48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G27    W  5 G16     W 11 G27
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           80           50           50
Precip duration       1            5            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.05         0.64         0.11         0.14
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      7600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 18
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   104 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5 G19                 SW 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G27    W  6 G16     W 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-242030-
Cumberland District South-
316 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017 /216 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (0)    66-71 (-2)   50-55        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (-5)   91-96        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G25                  SW  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G28     W  5 G18     W 11 G26
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           80           60           30
Precip duration       2            5            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.13         0.56         0.17         0.07
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      7900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     W 20
Dispersion                         48 Gen good               112 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G25                  SW 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G28     W  6 G18     W 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid
80s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$


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