Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 172004
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Another cold night is expected across the Tennessee Valley and
Southern Appalachians. Temperatures will begin to rebound by
tomorrow afternoon, with the warming trend continuing through the
end of the work week and into the weekend.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182115-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      3-8 (-3)     30-35 (+14)  14-19        42-47
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (0)    36-41 (-17)  65-70        24-29
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G15                 SW  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5 G16    SW  6 G16    SW  5 G16    SW  7 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3200                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1200                      800
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      SW 10
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  7 G15                 SW  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G16    SW  8 G16    SW  6 G16    SW  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 50s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182115-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      2-7 (-7)     30-35 (+17)  15-20        42-47
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (-8)   27-32 (-30)  57-62        18-23
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G20                 NW  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G23    W  7 G19     NW  5 G18    W  6 G18
Precip type           flurries     NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1000                      400
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 14                     W 12
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   3 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 10 G20                 NW  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G23    W  9 G19     NW  7 G18    W  8 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-182115-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      1-6 (-4)     32-37 (+18)  16-21        41-46
RH % (24h trend)      77-82 (-9)   25-30 (-29)  64-69        26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  8 G24     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G16
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                800                       300
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  7                     SW 12
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  5 G15                  W  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N 11 G24     NW  5        W  6         SW  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s
to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-182115-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      3-8 (-2)     34-39 (+21)  15-20        45-50
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (0)    25-30 (-33)  71-76        24-29
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  9 G25     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3000                      2600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                900                       600
Transport wnd (mph)                N  9                      SW  6
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    2 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  5                      S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N 11 G25     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-182115-
Nantahala National Forest-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (-5)     37-42 (+20)  14-19        47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-10)  26-31 (-24)  75-80        24-29
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G25     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                900                       600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  7
DISPERSION                         7 Poor                    3 Very poor
MAX LVORI                          3                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G25     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of snow. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182115-
East Tennessee District East-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      3-8 (-6)     32-37 (+14)  13-18        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (0)    31-36 (-21)  68-73        24-29
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2800                      2600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      SW  7
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182115-
East Tennessee District West-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      2-7 (-3)     32-37 (+16)  14-19        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+9)  32-37 (-21)  69-74        25-30
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2500                      2300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1200                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)                W  5                      SW  7
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-182115-
Cumberland District South-
304 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018 /204 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      5-10 (+1)    34-39 (+17)  15-20        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+7)   29-34 (-24)  71-76        25-30
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  7 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2200                      2200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1100                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  7                     SW  6
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  5                      S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  9 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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