Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 281905
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
WITH SUMMER-LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY. AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+8)   85-90 (+5)   61-66        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  33-38 (-2)   88-93        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G23                 S  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G20    SW 11 G27    S  5 G15     S 13 G27
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       4 PM
Precip end                         8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            2            1            2
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6600                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     S 22
Dispersion                         72 Good                   94 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  9 G23                 S 11 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    SW 14 G27    S  6 G15     S 16 G27

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid
70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid
60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+7)   80-85 (+2)   59-64        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-1)   37-42 (-2)   89-94        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G19                  S  8 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G23     SW 10 G23    S  6 G20     S 11 G29
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20           20
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Precip begin                       4 PM         Continuing   4 PM
Precip end                         Continuing   8 AM         8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.01
LAL                   1            2            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7700                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     S 24
Dispersion                         67 Good                   71 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G19                  S 11 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G23     SW 12 G23    S  8 G20     S 14 G29

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid
60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-292015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+6)   80-85 (+3)   59-64        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (-1)   38-43 (-8)   85-90        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G29                  S 13 G38
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G35     SW 13 G29    S  9 G26     S 15 G37
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       4 PM                      4 PM
Precip end                         Continuing                8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            2            1            2
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6800                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      S 28
Dispersion                         65 Good                   55 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G29                  S 17 G38
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G35     SW 17 G29    S 11 G26     S 19 G37

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds
10 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to
upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper
60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-292015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+10)  84-89 (+4)   61-66        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-4)   38-43 (-9)   88-93        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G24                  S 12 G34
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G20     S 12 G27     S  6 G21     S 14 G32
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       4 PM                      4 PM
Precip end                         8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            2            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      S 29
Dispersion                         79 Good                   97 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G24                  S 16 G34
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G20     S 15 G27     S  7 G21     S 17 G32

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to mid 60s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower
70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-292015-
Nantahala National Forest-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+10)  83-88 (+4)   59-64        76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   38-43 (-11)  95-100       54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G20                 SE  9 G27
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  9 G23    SW  5 G17    S 13 G30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.02
LAL                   1            2            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      S 26
DISPERSION                         66 Good                   89 Good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G20                 SE 11 G27
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW 12 G23    SW  6 G17    S 16 G30

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292015-
East Tennessee District East-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+7)   86-91 (+3)   61-66        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-1)   35-40 (-4)   87-92        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G21                  S  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G18    SW 11 G26    LGT/VAR      S 12 G26
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       4 PM                      4 PM
Precip end                         8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            2            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     S 21
Dispersion                         68 Good                   71 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  6 G21                  S 11 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G18    SW 14 G26    LGT/VAR      S 15 G26

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292015-
East Tennessee District West-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+12)  85-90 (+5)   63-68        81-86
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (-5)   37-42 (-9)   85-90        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G27                  S 11 G31
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G21    SW 12 G30    S  5 G19     S 12 G31
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       4 PM                      4 PM
Precip end                         8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            2            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      S 25
Dispersion                         100 Good                  92 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G27                  S 14 G31
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G21    SW 16 G30    S  7 G19     S 16 G31

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows near 50. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-292015-
Cumberland District South-
305 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /205 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+12)  85-90 (+5)   63-68        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-5)   37-42 (-13)  87-92        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G30                  S 12 G32
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G21     S 14 G31     S  7 G21     S 14 G32
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       4 PM                      8 AM
Precip end                         8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            2            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      S 28
Dispersion                         104 Very good             106 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 13 G30                  S 16 G32
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G21     S 17 G31     S  8 G21     S 18 G32

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty
winds will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows near 50. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$


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