Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 121957
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Cold arctic-like airmass over the area tonight producing very
cold wind chills. Ridge of high pressure will settle into the
Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians Wednesday
producing dry and milder conditions by afternoon.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      13-18 (-16)  34-39 (0)    23-28        34-39
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (-24)  27-32 (-14)  86-91        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G21                 NW 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 14 G31    SW 12 G30    SW 12 G30    NW  8 G20
Precip type           flurries     NONE         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           0
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2000                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     NW 13
Dispersion                         29 Fair                   22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 11 G21                 NW 13 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 17 G31    SW 15 G30    SW 16 G30    NW 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows 19 to 25. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Highs in the 20s
to upper 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows 17 to 24. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      11-16 (-16)  33-38 (+1)   21-26        35-40
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (-18)  27-32 (-20)  89-94        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G30                  NW 12 G31
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 18 G43    SW 10 G27    SW 14 G37    NW  9 G23
Precip type           flurries     NONE         snow         snow
Chance precip (%)     20           0            20           20
Precip duration       1                         1            1
Precip begin          7 PM                      1 AM         Continuing
Precip end            4 AM                      Continuing   10 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      1400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 17
Dispersion                         15 Gen poor               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G30                  NW 15 G31
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 23 G43    SW 12 G27    SW 18 G37    NW 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows 17 to 25. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Highs in the 20s
to upper 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 25. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-132100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      12-17 (-15)  37-42 (+5)   23-28        36-41
RH % (24h trend)      61-66 (-19)  26-31 (-23)  86-91        48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  9 G25                  NW 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 15 G39    SW 14 G41    SW 17 G43    NW  8 G22
Precip type           flurries     NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            2 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                900                       1100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     NW 14
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G25                  NW 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 19 G39    SW 18 G41    SW 21 G43    NW 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows 18 to 25. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Highs in the
upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 27. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Highs in the 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-132100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      16-21 (-11)  40-45 (+4)   25-30        41-46
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (-27)  25-30 (-20)  85-90        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G17                  NW  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 12 G30    SW 12 G29    SW 12 G29    N  8 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3200                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1200                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     NW 12
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G17                  NW 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 15 G30    SW 14 G29    SW 15 G29    N 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of snow. Highs in the upper
20s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 18 to 26. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Not as cool.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows around 40. Highs
near 50. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-132100-
Nantahala National Forest-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           MClear       Clear        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-9)   39-44 (+3)   24-29        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-28)  28-33 (-19)  85-90        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G17                  NW  9 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G35    SW  9 G24    SW 11 G29    NW  7 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1300                      1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 12
DISPERSION                         9 Poor                    15 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          2                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  NW 12 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 18 G35    SW 12 G24    SW 15 G29    NW  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Not as cool.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132100-
East Tennessee District East-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      15-20 (-15)  38-43 (0)    25-30        39-44
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (-20)  25-30 (-15)  86-91        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G22                 W  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 12 G29    SW 11 G25    SW 12 G28    W  7 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3600                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2100                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     NW 12
Dispersion                         29 Fair                   25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 11 G22                 W 12 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 15 G29    SW 14 G25    SW 16 G28    W  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Highs in the
upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 18 to 27. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132100-
East Tennessee District West-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      17-22 (-16)  40-45 (+2)   27-32        40-45
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (-13)  26-31 (-12)  87-92        48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  7 G22                 NW  8 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G25    SW 13 G32    SW 12 G29    N  6 G16
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3100                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1800                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     NW  9
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  9 G22                 NW 10 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 12 G25    SW 17 G32    SW 16 G29    N  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of rain. Highs in the
40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs near 50. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-132100-
Cumberland District South-
257 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017 /157 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      19-24 (-14)  42-47 (+3)   28-33        43-48
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (-11)  27-32 (-12)  84-89        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G20                 NW  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G23    SW 13 G30    SW 11 G28    N  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3100                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     N  9
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G20                 NW  9 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G23    SW 16 G30    SW 14 G28    N  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Highs in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows around 40. Highs in the
lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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