Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...UPDATED
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS
FRONT WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011615-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+9)   53-58 (+14)  66-71
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (+23)  90-95 (+5)   50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G25                  SW 15 G39
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G29     S 14 G33     W 16 G38
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           40           90
Precip duration       5            1            5
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.28         0.04         0.53
LAL                   3            1            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3900                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 21                      SW 30
Dispersion            32 Fair                   84 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G25                  SW 18 G39
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G29     S 18 G33     W 21 G38

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to 40s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011615-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+10)  52-57 (+13)  67-72
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (+22)  87-92 (-3)   48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G26                  SW 14 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G26     S 15 G38     W 17 G41
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           40           90
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.18         0.06         0.36
LAL                   3            1            5
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      7200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      SW 29
Dispersion            22 Fair                   107 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G26                  SW 18 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G26     S 18 G38     W 22 G41

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
Northwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-011615-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+11)  53-58 (+12)  65-70
RH % (24h trend)      61-66 (+25)  85-90 (-10)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G38                  SW 19 G48
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G39     S 19 G53     SW 20 G47
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           40           90
Precip duration       2            1            5
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.33         0.07         0.46
LAL                   3            3            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 28                      SW 36
Dispersion            29 Fair                   71 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 19 G38                  SW 24 G48
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 20 G39     S 24 G53     SW 25 G47

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
Northwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to mid 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the 20s to lower
30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to lower 50s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-011615-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+11)  55-60 (+12)  68-73
RH % (24h trend)      66-71 (+32)  92-97 (-4)   59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G30                  SW 14 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G31     S 15 G37     SW 15 G37
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           50           90
Precip duration       2            1            5
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.39         0.07         0.48
LAL                   3            3            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      SW 28
Dispersion            27 Fair                   60 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 16 G30                  SW 18 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G31     S 19 G37     SW 18 G37

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 30s. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-011615-
Nantahala National Forest-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+10)  53-58 (+13)  67-72
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+27)  95-100 (0)   63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G26                  SW 11 G30
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G25     S 12 G32     SW 12 G30
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.08         0.45
LAL                   3            4            5
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 21
DISPERSION            25 Fair                   43 Gen good
MAX LVORI             5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G26                  SW 14 G30
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G25     S 15 G32     SW 15 G30

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 30s. North winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011615-
East Tennessee District East-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+10)  54-59 (+13)  70-75
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+21)  86-91 (-1)   49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G20                  SW 13 G36
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G24     S 11 G27     SW 18 G40
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           50           90
Precip duration       5            1            5
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.23         0.05         0.49
LAL                   3            1            5
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      SW 32
Dispersion            22 Fair                   111 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G20                  SW 17 G36
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G24     S 15 G27     SW 22 G40

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
30s to lower 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s to mid 30s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011615-
East Tennessee District West-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+9)   56-61 (+13)  70-75
RH % (24h trend)      66-71 (+22)  89-94 (-1)   48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G27                  SW 15 G36
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G31     S 14 G35     W 16 G37
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           50           90
Precip duration       5            1            7
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.31         0.06         0.56
LAL                   3            3            5
LASI                  2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2700                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      SW 33
Dispersion            26 Fair                   100 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G27                  SW 18 G36
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G31     S 17 G35     W 20 G37

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-011615-
Cumberland District South-
1015 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017 /915 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+12)  57-62 (+12)  69-74
RH % (24h trend)      72-77 (+22)  90-95 (-5)   53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G26                  SW 15 G35
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G26     S 13 G32     W 15 G35
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           50           90
Precip duration       3            1            7
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.42         0.06         0.43
LAL                   3            3            5
LASI                  2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2500                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      SW 31
Dispersion            26 Fair                   81 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G26                  SW 18 G35
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G26     S 16 G32     W 18 G35

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$



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