835
FNUS73 KABR 141122
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Sica Hollow RX...SDGFP
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
622 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Conditions will remain dry today, then look for the
chances for rain to increase tonight and Wednesday. Minimum
relative humidity this afternoon will be between 35 and 40
percent. Winds will be out of the southeast between 10 and 15 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-4400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (66100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  30  33  35  41  46  52  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  62  64  66  67  68  68  68
RH..............47  44  43  40  39  37  37  37
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  14  15  15  15  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  18  20  20  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.5 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.4
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers overnight.
CWR.................6 percent increasing to 16 percent overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 14 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......500-4400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (52700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63  68  72  76  80  83  87  91  91  91  91  90
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  40
Temp............68  66  63  60  59  58  57  56  55  55  54  52
RH..............37  40  44  49  53  55  59  62  66  66  71  80
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  15  16  16  17  17  17  16  15  14
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  21  22  24  25  25  24  24  21
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
Smoke Dispersal.FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then rain showers
                    likely. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................16 percent increasing to 63 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    east 14 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-1300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 14 mph shifting to the east 14 to
                    17 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  90  88  86  84  82  80  78  77  76  76  75
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  60  60  60  60  60  60  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............52  52  55  56  56  58  60  61  61  62  62  62
RH..............80  83  77  74  77  72  69  67  67  65  62  62
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..14  13  13  13  14  14  15  15  15  15  14  14
20 FT wind gust.21  18  20  21  21  20  21  22  23  23  23  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...MMM
Requested by...Heath Stone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413901.3/ABR
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Heath.stone@state.sd.us