Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
640 FNUS53 KAPX 091924 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 324 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 ...Chance for showers and an isolated thunderstorm late week into the weekend... .DISCUSSION... Isolated showers this afternoon will diminish overnight, then another round of isolated showers possible Friday afternoon. Showers remain in the forecast with the chance for isolated thunderstorms this weekend into early next week. North to northwest winds through Saturday shift to the southwest and become breezy on Sunday. Temperatures steady in the 60s and low 70s through the middle of next week with min humidities each afternoon dropping into the 30 to 50 percent range. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-100830- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 324 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....35-40. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Isolated rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....60-65...except 50-55 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 40-45 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (347). Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....40-45. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (10). Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....60-65...except 50-55 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (575). Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.26 in . $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-100830- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 324 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....35-40. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Isolated rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....60-65...except 50-55 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........32-37 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (434). Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....40-45. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 77-82 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....58-63...except 48-53 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (398). Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.22 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-100830- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 324 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....35-40. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max Temperature.....60-65...except around 50 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........33-38 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (420). Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers likely after 2400. Min Temperature.....40-45. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.14 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....58-63...except around 51 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (688). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in. $$ MIZ031>033-100830- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 324 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....34-39. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 83-88 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Max Temperature.....60-65...except 53-58 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........32-37 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (477). Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400, then rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....40-45. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.18 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Rain showers likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....59-64...except 51-56 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (826). Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.19 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-100830- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 324 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Patchy frost after 2400. Min Temperature.....36-41. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy frost until 1200. Isolated rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........31-36 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (502). Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....39-44. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........87-92 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (11). Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.13 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (677). Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.26 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ JLD