Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 151433
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Spot Forecast for 036 - Cash Pond North 1 & 2...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1033 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure is in control today, however, clouds will increase
this afternoon with partly sunny conditions expected. Winds will
be gusty at times this afternoon out of the west-northwest, with
occasional gusts of 20-25 mph possible, but winds will drop off
below 10 mph at sunset. Relative humidity values will dip into the
mid to upper 30s percent range this afternoon, but shouldn`t dip
much below that before recovering late afternoon/early evening.
The chance for a wetting rain will be on Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest at 15 mph
Slope/valley........West winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................97 to 113.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  29  39  49  37  24  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  59  60  63  64  64  64
RH..............49  47  44  39  38  38  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W  WNW  WNW NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  13  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.16  18  20  20  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 5.1 5.6 5.9 6.4 6.6 6.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.21  22  22  22  23  24  24
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............105 109 104 97  106 113 109
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 6 to 10 mph.
Slope/valley........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 22 mph decreasing to 7 to 12
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................78 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   6   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  58  53  51  49  46  44  43  42  40  39  38
RH..............38  42  46  54  58  63  70  73  76  79  82  85
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  9   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.18  15  12  10  12  12  12  9   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  17  14  12  10  9   8   8   8   8   7   7
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5
ADI.............78  39  6   0   0   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 7 to 12 mph
Slope/valley........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 14 mph increasing to 13 to 18
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................0 early in the morning increasing to 111 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........2         5         11        10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............38        46        56        63
RH..............85        65        42        32
20 FT wind......W 5G8     W 7G10    NW 10G16  NW 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1800      5000      6000
Transport wind..NW 6      NW 10     NW 18     NW 16
LVORI...........6         3         1         1
ADI.............0         31        102       107
Haines index....3         3         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Kistner
Requested by...Brian Williamson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410911.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brianwilli@pa.gov


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