Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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945
FNUS73 KBIS 271902
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Lake Ilo...ND Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
202 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Sunday will be partly cloudy with a slight chance (10%) of rain
after 6pm. Winds will be southeast around 12mph, calming to around
5mph after midnight. Minimum relative humidity as low as 43 percent during
the day, recovering to around 90 percent overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (41300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  60  54  47  48  50  51  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  43  46  48  51  52  54  53
RH..............73  67  58  54  50  48  45  48
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   10  10  10  10  11
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  14  15  13  13  13  13  13
Haines index....3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Dispr kt-ft/1K..32  34  41  37  39  40  41  41

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph becoming light after midnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 14 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (43000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  61  59  57  56  53  51  48  45  42  38  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  52  49  45  44  41  40  39  38  37  36  34
RH..............46  48  56  65  68  76  79  82  85  85  89  92
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  12  9   9   9   8   7   6   5   5   4   3
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  13  13  12  11  9   8   7   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.5 3.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  13  12  12  12  10  9   8   7   6   6   6
Haines index....2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispr kt-ft/1K..43  39  30  9   9   6   5   3   3   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Dustin Mireles
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412609.0/BIS
.DELDT 04/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dustin_mireles@fws.gov