Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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486
FNUS71 KCTP 021039
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 110 Werts Hollow...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
639 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 02.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
A near carbon copy of Wednesday`s weather is in store for
us today with abundant sunshine and dry weather.

MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the afternoon
hours today with West-Northwest winds averaging 5 to 10 mph.

Sunshine Friday morning will be followed by increasing clouds
during the afternoon and nighttime hours.

Showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely
later Friday night and Saturday and continuing through
the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
Min Humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................48 to 56.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  2   0   0   2   7   14  14  15  10
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  65  69  72  73  74  76  76  77  78
RH................  63  53  48  41  37  32  32  31  30
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  8   10  11  11  11  11  11  11  11
20 FT Wind Gust...  13  14  17  17  16  17  17  16  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.3 2.2 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.6 5.0 5.2 5.1
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W
Transp Wind Spd...  13  14  18  18  18  17  18  17  16
LVORI.............  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  48  48  48  53  53  53  56  56  56
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
Max Humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 6 mph overnight.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 14 mph shifting to the east
                    around 10 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 19.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  12  20  7   9   11  12  14  19  19  28  30  25
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  77  75  71  68  65  63  61  60  58  57  56  54
RH................  31  33  39  43  50  54  58  58  62  64  66  71
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  10  8   7   8   8   9   8   7   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  13  10  10  10  11  12  11  10  8   8   10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp Wind Spd...  14  12  12  13  14  16  14  13  12  10  10  10
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  19  19  19  11  11  11  9   9   9   7   7   7
Haines Index......  6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
Min Humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................19 to 35.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  21  24  28  35  32  34  39  39  41  45  42  46
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  53  54  57  59  61  63  64  66  67  68  69  69
RH................  77  77  69  67  65  62  60  58  56  54  53  53
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   10  11
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  11  13  13  12  11  10  11  11  12  13  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  12  13  13  13  12  10  10  9   10  12  13  14
LVORI.............  4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
ADI...............  19  19  19  24  24  24  27  27  27  35  35  35
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Lambert
Requested by...Steve Ferreri
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413005.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aferreri@pa.gov