099
FNUS53 KDTX 051913
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
313 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will expand into the region tonight and
will provide mostly sunny conditions on Monday with highs near 70
and minimum RH values of 30-40 percent. A warm front will then lift
into southern Michigan on Tuesday, providing the next chance for
showers and thunderstorms. Additional showers and a few
thunderstorms will be possible through the middle of the week.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-052115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
313 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4620-5120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (376).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2 pm until 5 pm, then showers
                    and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3320-3820 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (583).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-052115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
313 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....38-44.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (377).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......280-480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 pm until 5 pm, then rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2870-3370 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (498).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-052115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
313 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4270-4770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (438).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........74-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 am until 2 pm, then rain
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2790-3290 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (494).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.

$$

DG