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000
FNUS75 KGJT 181052
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Brush Creek RX...Eagle Valley Wildland
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
452 AM MDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 MDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy conditions will continue today and Friday as
a storm system remains to the north. The area could see a passing
shower or two tonight and again Friday but most activity should
remain in the higher terrain. The chance of wetting rain is low
but gusty winds associated with showers could allow for stronger
gusts at times to 45 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
                    this afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor in the morning, then fair by 0900. Increasing
                    to very good and excellent by afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5800 ft AGL by peak heating this
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 24 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....35-40.
Max humidity........63-68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming south
                    5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good quickly decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft)
                    by sunset and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 mph decreasing to 10 mph
                    overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....57-62.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph in the morning, increasing
                    10 to 15 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor in the morning, then fair by 0900. Good by late
                    morning, increasing to very good and excellent by
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 7100 ft AGL by peak heating in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 22 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Hugh Fairfield-smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410636.7/GJT
.DELDT 04/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hfairfield-smith@eagleriverfire.org