Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 231951
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
251 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

THE DRY AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL AS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING DOMINATES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...WARM AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS KANSAS WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW BOOSTING DAYTIME HIGHS ON
FRIDAY. RECORD HIGHS COULD BE MATCHED OR SURPASSED FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

CURRENT WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM OVER
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
ROCKIES AND EMERGE OUT IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR MONDAY...WITH
DECENT CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN KANSAS MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. COOLER AIR WILL THEN OVER SPREAD THE AREA ON
TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARMING FOR WEDNESDAY. LONG
RANGE MODELS ARE SHOWING ANOTHER SHOT OF COLDER AIR POSSIBLY
AFFECTING THE REGION COME THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

LOW/MID CLOUDS CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE FROM NW TO SE AS THE AFTERNOON
CONTINUES WITH DRIER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE BUILDING INTO THE PLAINS.
KRSL/KSLN AND KHUT HAVE ALREADY SCATTERED OUT AND THINK KICT WILL
SCATTER OUT IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.  WILL SEE THE MVFR CIGS LINGER
THE LONGEST OVER SE KS...WITH KCNU NOT SCATTERING OUT UNTIL AROUND
00-01Z.

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER THIS CLOUD DECK DISSIPATES AS  DRIER
AIR BUILDS INTO THE AREA.  A LITTLE CONCERNED ABOUT LINGERING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE FOR FRI MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL KS AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KS...AS WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES.  GFS SHOWS THIS LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE MAY LEAD TO SOME PATCHY FOG WITH SOME MVFR VSBYS
POSSIBLE...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON THIS MENTION FOR NOW AS OTHER
SOLUTIONS DRY THINGS OUT MORE.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    56  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      55  87  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          54  85  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        56  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   56  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         54  88  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      54  88  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          55  87  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       55  87  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     54  82  58  85 /  10   0   0   0
CHANUTE         54  81  57  84 /  10   0   0   0
IOLA            53  80  57  84 /  10   0   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    54  81  57  85 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$







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