Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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656
FXUS63 KICT 282316
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
616 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

High pressure has been building into the region today. A few
diurnal showers and thunderstorms were noted across Nebraska.
Those are expected to dissipate before reaching the forecast area.

Surface low pressure, which had brought the conditions for storms
across the region the last several days, is becoming vertically
stacked across Ontario. This means that it will move little and
gradually weaken.

The cold front that has pushed well south has become stationary
across Texas, extending east into Arkansas. This front will
gradually return north as a warm front over the next several
days. It should near the area late Tuesday, which will cause a few
showers and thunderstorms across the area.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

A warm front will move through the area Wednesday. This will be
the focus for late afternoon and nocturnal storms. Low level
moisture transport will support these storms at night. Any that
form on the High Plains will also head this way in the mean flow.
Severe chances look rather low at this time.

An upper level disturbance will move into the region during the
next weekend time frame. As a result, the likelihood of storms and
severe weather will increase.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

Diurnally driven cumulus around 9000 feet AGL and even a few
showers across North Central KS will dissipate rapidly with loss
of heating. Gusty northwest winds will also subside with VFR
prevailing across the area tonight. Another cold front will arrive
on Mon afternoon and we could see an isolated storm or two across
Southern KS possibly impact KCNU or even KICT after 21Z, but
confidence in coverage remains too low to mention on area TAFs at
this time. Northwest winds at 10-15 mph will prevail across the
area on Mon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    56  83  58  81 /   0  10  20  30
Hutchinson      55  80  55  79 /   0  10  20  30
Newton          56  80  56  78 /   0  10  20  30
ElDorado        55  81  57  79 /   0  10  20  30
Winfield-KWLD   55  85  59  81 /   0  10  20  30
Russell         54  78  53  79 /  10  10  20  30
Great Bend      52  79  54  79 /  10   0  20  30
Salina          55  79  54  80 /  10   0  10  30
McPherson       54  79  55  79 /   0   0  20  30
Coffeyville     55  86  58  81 /   0  10  20  30
Chanute         56  83  57  79 /   0  10  20  30
Iola            55  82  56  79 /   0  10  20  30
Parsons-KPPF    55  84  58  80 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KRC
LONG TERM...KRC
AVIATION...MWM



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