Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 251141
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
641 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

Rain chances will gradually diminish from northwest to southeast
today as the front progresses through the region. A transient area
of fog has developed ahead of the fropa which should translate
rapidly ESE through the morning hours. Cooler and drier air will
follow in the wake of the front for Monday and Tuesday.
Temperatures are expected to remain below normal through the
period with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s and 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

A mid/upper ridge is progged to translate eastward across the
central Conus allowing dry weather and mostly clear conditions to
prevail across the forecast area Wed-Thu. Temperatures will slowly
moderate through the period with seasonable temperatures for most
locations. Highs will rise to around 80 while lows fall into the
mid/upper 50s. A progressive shortwave trough is progged to eject
out of the Rockies across the Plains late in the week bringing low
probabilities for precipitation to the area late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 640 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

A mixed bag of aviation conditions are expected for the first 6
hours, as moisture plume over the ern half of KS leads to scattered
showers and embedded thunderstorms. Could see some scattered MVFR
CIGS with the heavier rain showers near the KCNU taf site. Just to
the west of the widespread showers over the Flint Hills, a cold
front continues to push E-SE into portions of Central KS and South
Central KS.  Could see some low clouds with some MVFR cigs just
ahead of the front, for the KHUT and possibly the KICT taf sites for
a few hours this morning, before drier air associated with the
frontal passage quickly scours out the low level moisture.

As the front pushes E-SE, expect the showers to gradually shift
east, with VFR conditions returning to most locations for the
afternoon hours.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    73  49  72  49 /  30  10   0   0
Hutchinson      73  47  73  47 /  20   0   0   0
Newton          72  49  71  48 /  30   0   0   0
ElDorado        72  49  71  48 /  50   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   75  49  72  48 /  60  10   0   0
Russell         72  42  73  47 /  10   0   0   0
Great Bend      73  43  73  48 /  10   0   0   0
Salina          74  46  73  47 /  10   0   0   0
McPherson       72  47  73  47 /  20   0   0   0
Coffeyville     75  54  72  46 /  90  10   0   0
Chanute         74  51  71  47 /  90  10   0   0
Iola            74  50  71  47 /  90  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    75  52  72  46 /  90  10   0   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...Ketcham


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