Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 252108
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
308 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 308 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

THE UPPER WAVE THAT DOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA LAST NIGHT IS
SPINNING OVER OKLAHOMA/ARKANSAS/MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
DISTURBANCE HAS KEPT CLOUDS OVER EASTERN KANSAS THROUGH THE DAY
WHICH HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES COOLER. IN ADDITION...NORTHERLY WINDS
HAVE BEEN STRONG THROUGH THE DAY WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK WILL BE WARM...WITH POSSIBLY RECORD
HEAT. WINDS WILL DECREASE EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER WAVE
MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. BY MONDAY AND EVEN TUESDAY WESTERLY WINDS
WILL RETURN WITH DURING THE DAY. THE WESTERLY WINDS AND FULL SUN
WILL HELP TEMPERATURES SOAR WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH RECORD HIGHS
POSSIBLE TO EVEN LIKELY. HIGHS ARE FORECASTED INTO THE UPPER 60S
AND LOW 70S WHICH WILL BE NEAR TO EXCEEDING RECORD HIGHS. SEE THE
CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS.

BY WEDNESDAY ZONAL FLOW WILL RETURN AS THE NEXT UPPER WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. A SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THE
WAVE...TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE VERY WARM INTO THE 60S.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN ON THURSDAY BEHIND THE SURFACE FRONT
FROM WEDNESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE STUNTED...BACK TO NEAR NORMALS FOR
LATE JANUARY...IN THE 40S.

AS ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH DEVELOPS IN THE EAST...MULTIPLE RIPPLES
WILL MOVE ACROSS AS WE SIT IN NORTHWEST FLOW. THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY AS ONE OF THE RIPPLES PUSHES A FRONT
THROUGH THE STATE...BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON THE FEATURE.
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL AGAIN STAY NEARER TO NORMAL FOR LATE
JANUARY/EARLY FEBRUARY.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1133 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

THE STRONG GRADIENT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON IN A WEST TO EAST FASHION AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVES EASTWARD OUT OF THE FORECAST. THESE WINDS MAY PRODUCE
CROSSWIND ISSUES WITH LANDING AND TAKING OFF WITH THE NORTH AND
SOUTH RUNWAYS. THE ENTRANCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL USHER OUT THE
STRATOCUMULUS DECK CURRENTLY OBSERVED AT ALL LOCATIONS AND BRING
CLEAR SKIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALL CIGS SHOULD
REMAIN AOA VFR LIMITS. THE CLEAR SKIES WILL OCCUR THROUGH
MONDAY...THOUGH SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS MAY DEVELOP.

CWH

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 308 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE MONDAY-TUESDAY.

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR JANUARY 26TH
WICHITA.....69 DEGREES IN 1953
SALINA......70 DEGREES IN 1951
RUSSELL.....72 DEGREES IN 2002
CHANUTE.....73 DEGREES IN 1911

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR JANUARY 27TH
WICHITA.....69 DEGREES IN 2013
SALINA......68 DEGREES IN 1934
RUSSELL.....65 DEGREES IN 2002
CHANUTE.....70 DEGREES IN 1934

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    30  68  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      29  69  35  73 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          29  67  34  69 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        29  67  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   29  67  34  70 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         31  70  34  72 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      31  71  36  74 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          29  68  35  70 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       29  68  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     29  64  33  68 /   0   0   0   0
CHANUTE         28  62  32  67 /   0   0   0   0
IOLA            28  61  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    27  63  32  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>070-082-083-091>094-098.

&&

$$


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