Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 240902
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
402 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Today:
Headline:
Wind Advisory Remains In Effect For All Of Central & South-Central
KS.

The first of a couple mid-upper shortwaves will move E over the
Rockies to induce sfc cyclogenesis over CO & NM. The rapid
movement of the shortwave would have Central KS W of I-135
experiencing their strongest winds late this morning with the
remainder of Central & South-Central KS experiencing their
strongest S winds this afternoon.

Tonight-Wed Night:
Multiple shortwaves moving E across the Nrn & Central Plains will
produce a predominantly rainy period. The greatest threat for
strong/severe thunderstorms should occur Tue Night when a strong &
deep wave digs SW from an intense cyclone (centered over MN) to
Kern MN. Rain should gradually end in a W-E manner Wed Night as
the wave continues to track E. The passage of this wave will sweep
a cold front SE across KS to produce much cooler weather Wed &
Wed Night.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Multiple shortwaves will move E across the Plains almost in an
assembly line manner. This would result in very rainy periods,
especially over the weekend. Pin-pointing the timing & locations
of the heaviest rains is a bit problematic as the GFS & ECMWF
diverge in their overall patterns.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1127 PM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

Main Hazards: Low-level wind shear, and strong surface wind gusts
Monday.

A nocturnal temperature inversion and low-level jet off the
surface will result in low-level wind shear overnight into early
Monday morning, across the central and south central Kansas
terminals (~1500-2000 ft agl). Diurnal heating and steepening
surface-800 mb lapse rates will allow for southerly winds
increasing at the surface and gusting to 35-40 knots in central
/south-central KS from mid morning into the afternoon hours.
Another low-level wind shear signal is indicated to develop Monday
evening/overnight across central/eastern Kansas, in response to
decoupled/backed boundary layer winds and a strong south-
southwesterly low-level jet. VFR conditions will prevail for the
next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    77  55  77  45 /   0  10  10  50
Hutchinson      78  54  74  43 /   0  10  10  50
Newton          76  55  74  43 /   0  10  10  50
ElDorado        76  56  77  46 /   0  10  10  50
Winfield-KWLD   77  56  80  47 /   0   0  10  50
Russell         81  52  67  39 /   0  10  10  40
Great Bend      81  52  69  40 /   0  10  10  40
Salina          79  55  71  43 /   0  20  20  40
McPherson       78  54  72  42 /   0  10  10  50
Coffeyville     77  57  79  53 /   0   0  10  70
Chanute         76  56  77  50 /   0  10  10  70
Iola            76  55  76  50 /   0  10  10  70
Parsons-KPPF    76  56  78  52 /   0   0  10  70

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 5 PM CDT this afternoon
for KSZ049-051>053-067>069-082-083-091>093.

Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 11 AM CDT this morning for KSZ032-033-
047-048-050.

&&

$$


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