Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 091712
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1112 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 148 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

Above normal temperatures and dry weather will prevail over the
upcoming week.

A large mid/upper trough was impacting much of the eastern Conus
while a mid/upper ridge was situated over California and Nevada
allowing northwest mid/upper flow to prevail across the central
Conus. This pattern will remain in place until late in the week when
a shortwave trough breaks down the ridge and the mid/upper flow
becomes a bit more progressive toward the end of the period.

Trended today-Sunday a bit warmer with some light downslope flow and
dry air allowing large diurnal spreads to develop. Monday`s high
temperature was trended down as a clipper system drives a cold front
south lowering thickness values across the area. Even with some
gusty northerly winds during the afternoon hours, the grassland fire
danger is expected to remain in the very high category.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 148 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

The models remain in reasonable agreement through the extended
periods with a northwest mid/upper flow regime persisting across
the central Conus. This is a dry pattern for the central Conus
with above normal temperatures although a frontal passage late Wed
into early Thu may usher in cooler air and breezy conditions
possibly elevating the grassland fire danger briefly as we remain
quite dry across the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1112 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

VFR conditions are forecast at all sites throughout the period.
Winds will gradually shift to the southwest later today, then back
to the northwest around daybreak Sunday. Increasing mixing will
result in increasing winds late Sunday morning. -Howerton

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    52  27  62  31 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      52  27  64  30 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          50  25  60  32 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        50  24  60  31 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   53  25  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         54  27  67  31 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      55  27  67  30 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          50  28  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       51  25  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     50  24  60  31 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         46  25  58  31 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            46  24  57  31 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    48  24  59  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...PJH



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