Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42

000
FXUS63 KICT 240841
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
241 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 240 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Highlights: warm and windy today, with cooler near normal
temperatures, breezy northwest winds and nil precipitation chances
through early to mid next week.

Potent storm system currently spinning over the central/northern
Rockies will affect primarily Nebraska, South Dakota, southern
Minnesota and Iowa today and tonight with widespread wintry
precipitation. The Kansas region will remain on the warm, dry and
windy side of the system. Given the expected sunshine and mixing,
low-level thicknesses support daytime temperatures soaring into
the 60s to low 70s...warmest near the KS/OK border. Furthermore,
south/southwest winds will be fairly breezy/gusty.

A change is coming though as a cold front progresses across the
region this evening and tonight, with a return to near to below
normal temperatures in the 30s-40s Wednesday, along with continued
breezy northwest winds. Clouds will be on the increase as well
Wednesday from the north.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 240 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Quiet weather is expected through the next 7-10 days, as models
and associated ensemble consensus develops an amplified longwave
pattern across North America, with ridging over the west and
troughing over the east. This will leave Kansas underneath dry
northwest flow aloft, supporting nil precipitation chances, near
normal daytime temperatures mostly in the 40s, breezy northwest
winds and mostly sunny skies through at least early to mid next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Some patchy MVFR fog vsbys will be possible overnight in
southeast Kansas and the Flint Hills, otherwise VFR conditions are
expected to prevail through the forecast valid period. Gusty winds
on Tuesday will be the main aviation impact as a surface low
deepens across the central high Plains and moves east across
western and northern Kansas. A cold front will drop southeast
across central Kansas by late Tuesday afternoon and early evening
with veering/shift in the wind to northwest.

KED

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 240 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Expecting very high to low-end extreme grassland fire danger this
afternoon...highest over southern Kansas. Stout/gusty south to
southwest winds, well above normal temperatures and relative
humidity in the 30s percent will support this elevated fire
danger. Will hold off issuing a red flag warning, although
marginally critical fire danger is briefly possible this afternoon
over southern Kansas. Although not nearly as high as today, the
grassland fire danger will remain somewhat elevated through
Saturday due to continued dry and breezy northwest winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    67  30  40  24 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      65  28  39  23 /  10   0  10   0
Newton          65  28  38  23 /  10   0  10   0
ElDorado        66  30  39  24 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   69  30  42  24 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         51  25  36  20 /  10  10  10   0
Great Bend      56  26  37  21 /  10  10  10   0
Salina          60  29  37  22 /  10  10  10   0
McPherson       63  28  38  22 /  10  10  10   0
Coffeyville     70  33  44  26 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         66  32  41  24 /  10   0   0  10
Iola            64  31  40  24 /  10   0  10  10
Parsons-KPPF    69  32  43  25 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ADK
LONG TERM...ADK
AVIATION...KED
FIRE WEATHER...ADK



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.