Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 011744
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1244 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

...UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

NORTHWEST MID/UPPER FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING INTO THE PACNW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL
KANSAS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK MOISTURE TRANSPORT/ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE.
THIS ACTIVITY WAS DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTH AND EAST AND WILL IMPACT
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING. WITH LINGERING CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES MAY
STRUGGLE TO CLIMB ABOVE OBSERVED HIGHS ON SUNDAY WITH MOST LOCATIONS
REMAINING IN THE LOW-MID 70S. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TUE-
WED AS THE CENTRAL PLAINS REGION BECOMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID/UPPER RIDGING.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

THIS PATTERN OF WEAK NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS
PROGGED TO RETURN THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK...HOWEVER UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING IS PROGGED TO BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS
STATES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE AN INCREASING ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER AND INCREASING CINH LIKELY PRECLUDING MORE WIDESPREAD STORM
ACTIVITY. MAINTAINED LOW POPS WEIGHTED ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS MAINLY
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID/UPPER 80S WED-THU WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL ONCE AGAIN BE LOW CLOUD TRENDS.

DECENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER WAVE. SOUTHERLY RETURN
FLOW HAS COMMENCED OVER THE AREA WHICH WILL ALLOW THE RICH
MOISTURE TO INCREASE/REMAIN IN PLACE. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER FAR WESTERN KS/EASTERN CO LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY STAYING WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME
LOW CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING
BUT FOR NOW CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO RUN WITH IFR LEVELS.
SO WILL ONCE AGAIN JUST GO WITH MVFR CEILINGS.

LAWSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    75  60  81  66 /  30  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      75  60  83  66 /  20  20  10  10
NEWTON          72  57  79  64 /  30  10  10  10
ELDORADO        74  59  79  66 /  20  10  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   75  59  81  65 /  20  10  10  10
RUSSELL         77  60  83  65 /  20  20  10  10
GREAT BEND      77  60  85  65 /  10  20  10  10
SALINA          75  60  81  66 /  20  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       75  58  82  65 /  20  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     75  56  80  63 /  10   0  10  10
CHANUTE         74  55  79  64 /  10   0  10  10
IOLA            73  55  78  64 /  10   0  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    75  56  77  64 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.