Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 250547
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1147 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 254 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Main challenge is light precip chances Sunday and Monday.
Significant upper trof will continue to move east across
the Midwest and Great Lakes through Saturday. The brisk
northwest winds and cold air stratocu will stick around
into part of the evening before decreasing overnight.
Surface high pressure will drift southeast across the area
during Saturday with light winds and temperatures still a
few degrees below seasonal climo. Two separate stream upper
trofs will affect the area Sunday into Sunday night. The main
affect of the slightly faster northern stream trof will be to
push a weak surface front south into Kansas during Sunday. The
lagging southern stream upper trof will aid in modest low level
moisture transport into this boundary with sufficient lift for
at least light precip chances for mainly southern and eastern
parts of Kansas. Broad upper troughing across the western CONUS
through Monday will keep Kansas in a milder and somewhat moist
southerly low level flow regime with modest chance for light
precip. Little change to the going forecast in this regard with
mainly rain during the daylight hours and mixed phase possible
early Sunday morning and Sunday night.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 254 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

The mean upper trough will gradually translate eastward across
the central and into the eastern CONUS from mid to late next
week. Rather modest cooling is expected on Wednesday with dry
weather for the latter periods.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1147 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

At issuance the MVFR stratocu (~3,000ft) had vacated KCNU where NW
winds had dmnshd to ~13kts. All other areas were VFR w/ cldns lmtd
to cirriform variants & where winds were beginning to back twd the
W under 10kts. Winds acrs Cntrl & SC KS wl slowly back twd the S/SW
Sat Mrng as high pressure, covering SW Nebraska, NE CO & NW KS at
06Z, conts to move SE acrs OK. All areas wl rmn VFR thru Sat Eve &
lkly byd w/ cldns AOA 15,000ft.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 254 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Lighter winds will mitigate any fire weather concerns the next few
days with some light precip chances as well over southern Kansas
by Sunday and Monday.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    22  45  30  52 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      20  45  29  52 /   0   0  10   0
Newton          21  44  29  51 /   0   0  10  10
ElDorado        22  44  30  51 /   0   0   0  10
Winfield-KWLD   22  46  31  53 /   0   0   0  10
Russell         17  44  25  50 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      17  45  25  51 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          19  45  28  52 /  10   0  10   0
McPherson       20  44  28  51 /   0   0  10  10
Coffeyville     24  47  30  53 /   0   0   0  30
Chanute         23  45  29  51 /  10   0   0  30
Iola            23  45  29  50 /  10   0  10  30
Parsons-KPPF    23  46  30  52 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...EPS
FIRE WEATHER...KED


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