Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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637 FXUS63 KICT 081951 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 251 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Seasonably mild days/cool nights thru the end of the week. - Modest chances for rain/storms return by early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 251 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Chamber of commerce type weather expected the next few days with seasonably mild days and a relatively tame Kansas wind. Surface convection has exited stage right at mid-afternoon as the cold front has moved out of our southeast Kansas counties. A secondary weak front will slide south from Nebraska and reinforce the modestly cooler/drier (yet seasonably mild) air across the area for Thursday as sort of a col develops aloft over Nebraska by Thursday afternoon, between the upper trof across the Great Lakes and upper low over the Canyonland region of eastern Utah. The seasonably mild days and cool nights look to prevail through Friday with a slight warm-up by Saturday under weak ridging aloft, between another trof moving across the Great Lakes and upper low center wobbling from the Four Corners region west into a portion of the Great Basin. The western conus upper low/trof looks to move slowly eastward toward and across the central Plains by early next week bringing modest rain/thunder chances to the area again. Upper flow and instability combo appear rather modest as well, so risk for organized deep convection/severe weather looks low as well. Darmofal && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1216 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 There are minimal aviation concerns through this forecast period. A boundary will continue to push southeast through the Flint Hills. Any showers and storms have stayed in the far southeast corner of the state and away from KCNU which is expected for the next few hours. There are breezy winds behind the boundary which will last through the afternoon before subsiding around 0Z. Thursday afternoon could be breezy as well. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KED AVIATION...VJP