Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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793
FXUS63 KICT 251927
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
227 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

Continued isentropic upglide/weak H7 waa along the mid level
baroclinic zone may keep some showers and isolated storms going
periodically through the night and into the day on Mon and
maintained 20-40 pops across much of the area. Showers and isolated
storms may increase in coverage late Mon afternoon/evening across
portions of central KS dropping southward into south central and
southeast KS during the evening/overnight hours.

Tuesday-Wednesday...the mid/upper ridge is progged to translate
eastward across the central plains with breezy south winds and a
return to more seasonable temperatures on Tue. Any lingering
showers/storms should be weighted early in the period with mostly
dry conditions anticipated by afternoon. An approaching shortwave
trough will bring increasing chances for deep moist convection
to the central high plains by late afternoon/early evening. This
activity will drift eastward into central KS late Tue night. A
trailing/diffuse frontal boundary could provide a focus for
additional shower and thunderstorm development Wed afternoon and
Wed night. Highs are expected to return to the upper 80s to mid
90s with lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s.


.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

Storm chances will continue through much of the period with a
continuation of warm and humid conditions. A progressive zonal
flow regime is anticipated at the beginning of the period while
the central plains region comes under increasing influence from a
mid/upper ridge towards the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

Main aviation hazard: thunderstorm clusters through early this
evening.

305-310K layer isentropic upglide/moistening and weak elevated
instability, should allow batches of showers/thunderstorms over
northwest Kansas to translate southeastward across central and
southeastern Kansas this afternoon, possibly tapering off from
northwest to southeast later this evening. Expecting mid-level
cloud cover to linger much of tonight. Light/variable winds and
VFR conditions should prevail, although thunderstorms may
temporarily reduce visibilities to MVFR range at the terminals.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    63  84  63  87 /  30  20  30  10
Hutchinson      61  83  62  87 /  30  20  30  10
Newton          61  81  61  85 /  30  20  30  10
ElDorado        62  81  62  84 /  30  20  30  10
Winfield-KWLD   64  84  64  87 /  20  10  30  10
Russell         57  82  61  88 /  40  30  20  10
Great Bend      59  83  62  88 /  30  30  30  10
Salina          60  82  61  88 /  40  30  30  10
McPherson       59  82  61  86 /  30  30  30  10
Coffeyville     63  83  62  85 /  20  20  30  10
Chanute         62  80  60  84 /  30  20  30  10
Iola            61  79  59  83 /  40  30  30   0
Parsons-KPPF    63  81  62  85 /  20  20  30  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...JMC



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