Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 050826
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
226 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

The cold air has arrived as temperatures are now as much at 40
degrees colder than this time yesterday in some areas. CAA
continues to move into the region this morning as well. The
biggest change is the dry air which continues to advect into
region. Dew Point temperatures are in the single digits. This is
making the RHs very low and will keep the precipitation chances
out of the forecast for the foreseeable future. Wednesday,
temperatures will remain near normal as there is a little WAA
noted in the mid level but this is not expected to last long. CAA
will take over again by the late evening as a re-enforcing shot of
cold air will be moving into the region from the northeast. Winds
will be brisk over the region during the afternoon today and
Wednesday. This combined with the dry conditions will push the
fire danger into the very high category for today and Wednesday.

Thursday looks to be the coldest day as mid level moisture will
be on the increase. Moisture levels and forcing in the mid levels
look good enough to produce some light precipitation, either
sprinkles or flurries Thursday afternoon and Friday. However, the
low levels look way to dry to allow any precipitation to reach the
ground. This will keep Thursday and Friday cooler and prevent any
precipitation.


.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

Long term forecast looks for temperatures to recover and will
likely rise above normal. Wind flow will return to the west which
make it easier for the warmer temperatures. The Gulf of Mexico
looks to remain cut off during this time. This will keep the skies
rather clear and sunny as well as dry.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1108 PM CST Mon Dec 4 2017

North to northwest winds will gradually diminish overnight before
increasing and becoming gusty from the west-northwest by midday on
Tuesday. The strongest winds/gusts on Tuesday are expected along
and north of the I-70 corridor. The upper jet induced cirrus will
gradually exit the area on Tuesday.

KED


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

Continued very dry conditions and brisk northwest winds will keep
the fire danger in the very high category for today and tomorrow.
The I-70 corridor is the area that will likely have the very high
fire danger levels today. Wednesday the very high fire danger
will spread south more and will likely cover most of the area.
Winds will calm down some for Thursday and Friday bringing the
fire danger below very high levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    49  30  49  25 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      49  28  48  23 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          48  28  47  23 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        48  29  48  24 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   49  29  50  25 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         48  27  46  21 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      48  27  47  21 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          49  29  47  23 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       48  28  47  22 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     49  29  52  26 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         48  30  50  25 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            47  29  48  25 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    48  30  51  25 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...KED
FIRE WEATHER...ELM



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