Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 230918
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
318 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 238 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

WESTERLY WINDS WILL CAUSE DOWN SLOPE EFFECTS TO BE AT A PREMIUM
FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY...WHICH WILL BOOST DAYTIME HIGHS ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES. ANOTHER WARM DAY WILL BE ON TAP FOR SUNDAY
HOWEVER TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE A BIT COOLER OVER EASTERN
KANSAS...AS A COLDER AIRMASS DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION AND GLANCES SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 238 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT WARM ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR MONDAY-WEDNESDAY...AS EASTERN
CONUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND RIDGING ALOFT MOVES
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GFS/ECMWF MODELS HIGHLIGHT A UPPER SHORT
LEVEL WAVE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/THURSDAY...WHICH WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH KANSAS AND
BRING COOLER AIR TO THE AREA FOR THURSDAY.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 318 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

QUIET VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MODEST SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWESTERLY THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH PROGRESSES SOUTHEAST
ACROSS MID-AMERICA. SCT-BKN MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL PROGRESS
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OTHERWISE...CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED.

ADK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    51  29  60  37 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      53  28  62  36 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          52  28  60  36 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        50  30  60  37 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   50  30  59  36 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         54  27  63  36 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      54  27  63  36 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          53  28  62  37 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       53  28  61  36 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     49  28  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
CHANUTE         49  28  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
IOLA            49  28  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    49  28  57  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$


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