Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 171740
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1240 PM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

A stable post-frontal regime is expected across the area today
with seasonable temperatures and dry weather conditions. Highs this
afternoon will top out in the upper 80s or around 90 for most
areas.

Probabilities for showers and storms may return late tonight,
especially for areas along and west of highway 14 where H85 moisture
transport/elevated instability is progged to return toward morning
as a shortwave trough digs across the northern plains states. A
trailing frontal boundary may provide a focus for deep moist
convection across much of the area into the day on Friday and
Friday night.

Dry weather is still expected on Saturday with temperatures
remaining slightly above normal in the low to mid 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

Unsettled weather may return late in the weekend and into early
next week as a subtle storm system lifts out of the Southern
Rockies and over the Central Plains states. Mid/upper troughing is
progged across the Great Lakes area as we move toward the middle
of the week with northwest mid/upper flow prevailing across the
Central Plains. Low pops were maintained through much of the
period with highs in the 90s. A more vigorous cold front will
arrive toward the end of the period bringing increasing chances
for storms and a surge of cooler air to the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

Aviation concerns will remain minimal through the next 24 hours.

Cold front that swept through yesterday and is now situated
from southern MO into the TX Panhandle. There is good model
agreement that upper energy will track out of the northern Rockies
and into the central Plains Fri. This will allow a weak cold
front/surface trough to push south into central KS Fri afternoon
and will allow allow rich low level moisture to work back to the
north across OK and southern KS. Current thinking is that any
storms associated with the front will wait until after 18z Fri. So
confidence is high that VFR conditions will remain in place
tonight into Fri morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    88  69  91  69 /   0  30  30  30
Hutchinson      88  66  91  67 /   0  30  30  20
Newton          87  66  89  67 /   0  30  30  20
ElDorado        87  67  88  67 /   0  20  30  30
Winfield-KWLD   89  68  90  69 /   0  20  30  40
Russell         89  65  93  64 /   0  40  20  10
Great Bend      89  66  93  65 /   0  40  20  10
Salina          89  68  93  65 /   0  30  30  10
McPherson       88  66  91  65 /   0  30  30  10
Coffeyville     87  65  89  69 /   0  10  20  50
Chanute         86  66  88  68 /   0  10  20  40
Iola            85  65  87  68 /   0  10  20  40
Parsons-KPPF    87  66  89  69 /   0  10  20  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...RBL



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