Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 230916
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
316 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 237 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

Light southwest winds will prevail across the region today with
dry and mild weather conditions anticipated for late November.
The column is progged to warm even more on Friday with high
temperatures expected to top out in the low to mid 70s, likely
breaking a couple of record highs.

A clipper system will drive a cold front south across the area
late on Friday shifting winds to the northwest although the
Pacific airmass will lag a bit. As high pressure builds over the
area on Saturday, light winds and sunny conditions will allow
above normal temperatures to prevail with highs around 60 for most
locations.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 237 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

Rising heights/increasing thickness will support rising temperatures
in the Sun-Mon timeframe. Highs temperatures at the start of the
period were trended higher with highs on Monday likely climbing
back into the 70s and jeopardizing a few record highs once again.
As we move toward the middle of the week, forecast uncertainty
begins to grow leading to lower confidence. The ECMWF remains
slower and deeper with a mid week trough across the central Conus
while the GEFS as well as the ECM Ensemble mean tend to favor a
more progressive solution.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1108 PM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

VFR conditions expected to prevail thru the forecast valid
period. A weak surface trof will move across central Kansas
Thanksgiving morning with a brief wind shift, before a light south
to southwest wind establishes itself again in the late afternoon.
Generally clear except for scattered cirrus.

KED

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 252 PM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

Record highs today...
CNU80 in 1897
ICT 72 in 2005
RSL 72 in 2005
SLN 73 in 2005

Record highs on Fri Nov 24...
CNU 74 in 1919
ICT 70 in 1915
RSL 75 in 1990
SLN 75 in 1990

Record highs on Mon Nov 27...
CNU 75 in 1960
ICT 72 in 1933
RSL 71 in 1949
SLN 73 in 1933

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    69  44  73  41 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      71  44  74  38 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          71  45  72  39 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        70  45  71  40 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   69  43  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         72  45  74  35 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      72  44  74  36 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          71  48  75  37 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       72  44  74  37 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     61  41  70  42 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         60  41  69  41 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            60  41  69  40 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    60  41  69  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...KED
CLIMATE...MWM


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