Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 250753
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
253 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

Rain chances will gradually diminish from northwest to southeast
today as the front progresses through the region. A transient area
of fog has developed ahead of the fropa which should translate
rapidly ESE through the morning hours. Cooler and drier air will
follow in the wake of the front for Monday and Tuesday.
Temperatures are expected to remain below normal through the
period with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s and 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

A mid/upper ridge is progged to translate eastward across the
central Conus allowing dry weather and mostly clear conditions to
prevail across the forecast area Wed-Thu. Temperatures will slowly
moderate through the period with seasonable temperatures for most
locations. Highs will rise to around 80 while lows fall into the
mid/upper 50s. A progressive shortwave trough is progged to eject
out of the Rockies across the Plains late in the week bringing low
probabilities for precipitation to the area late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1152 PM CDT Sat Sep 24 2016

Tough call at all sites throughout the night. Initial band of
rain showers/thunderstorms are waning over SE KS, with renewed
development starting between this band and the storms developing
in the vicinity of the front. This area will sweep across the
area. MVFR/brief IFR ceilings appears probable in the vicinity
ahead of the front. Will stick with predominately MVFR ceilings
for now. Much drier air on gusty northwest winds should scour out
clouds quickly. KCNU will be slowest to clear with lower end VFR
or MVFR ceilings likely for most of the period. -Howerton


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    73  51  73  50 /  50  10   0   0
Hutchinson      73  48  72  47 /  30   0   0   0
Newton          73  50  71  49 /  40   0   0   0
ElDorado        72  51  72  48 /  60  10   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   73  52  72  49 /  60  10   0   0
Russell         73  44  72  46 /  10   0   0   0
Great Bend      73  45  72  47 /  10   0   0   0
Salina          74  47  72  48 /  20   0   0   0
McPherson       73  48  72  47 /  30   0   0   0
Coffeyville     74  54  72  47 /  80  20   0   0
Chanute         72  52  71  47 /  80  10   0   0
Iola            72  52  70  47 /  80  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    73  53  72  46 /  80  20   0   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...PJH



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