Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 232110
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
310 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS DRAPED FROM LAKE MICHIGAN TO
TEXAS. KANSAS IS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS WAVE WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. ANOTHER SMALL/WEAK WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT
CAUSING A WIND SHIFT AND ASSOCIATED MID-HIGH CLOUDS. WINDS ARE
CHANGING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGHS TODAY ARE
GENERALLY IN THE 50S.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

THE THEME FOR THE WEEKEND IS WARM...WITH HIGHS 15 TO NEARLY 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MONDAY. GENERAL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
WILL PREVAIL WITH A FEW RIPPLES MOVING THROUGH. THESE RIPPLES WILL
CAUSE SOME CHANGES IN THE WIND FIELDS...BUT LITTLE ELSE WILL
OCCUR. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY SATURDAY WHICH WILL HELP WITH THE
WARM UP WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. THEN BREEZIER NORTHERLY WINDS
SUNDAY WILL STUNT THE WARMING TREND...BUT KEEP UPPER 50S FOR
HIGHS. BY MONDAY WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL RETURN AND
HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S ARE EXPECTED.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

THE WARMING TREND STAYS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WITH
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EXPECTING HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
HOWEVER...AS MID-WEEK APPROACHES THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL FLATTEN
OUT AND A DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL
PULL A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY
MORNING AND WILL KNOCK THE TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO NEAR NORMAL
BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
THROUGH. AT THIS TIME EXPECT THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE TO STAY DRY.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1139 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST VALID
PERIOD. SURFACE TROF WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING WITH WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. A PERIOD OF HIGHER
LEVEL CLOUDS/CIGS ABOVE 10K FT CAN BE EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

KED


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    28  59  37  58 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      28  60  36  58 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          27  58  36  55 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        29  58  37  56 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   27  58  36  59 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         27  61  36  59 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      27  61  36  59 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          29  60  37  57 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       28  59  36  57 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     27  58  36  58 /   0   0   0   0
CHANUTE         26  58  36  55 /   0   0   0   0
IOLA            26  57  36  54 /   0   0   0  10
PARSONS-KPPF    26  58  35  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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