Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 110744
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
244 AM CDT Wed Oct 11 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Wed Oct 11 2017

A cool start this morning with some frost for mainly central
Kansas. Otherwise full sunshine and light winds will give way to a
pleasant fall day today as surface high pressure moves slowly
eastward. Warmer air will return to Kansas for Thursday/Friday as
southerly winds increase with above normal temperatures for mid
October. Models show a cold front pushing southward into central
Kansas and stalling out on Friday before lifting back north as
warm front Friday night. Showers/storms will be possible along and
north of the front as moisture transport increases into the
boundary.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Wed Oct 11 2017

GFS/ECMWF models are in good agreement showing a upper level wave
moving eastward across the central plains for Saturday/Saturday
night. This will push a fairly strong cold front southward with
decent chances of showers/storms, mainly for Saturday afternoon
and night. Cooler air will overspread the region on Sunday with
rain tapering off for southeast Kansas Sunday morning. Dry and
warmer weather will return to the area for Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2017

MVFR ceilings will linger at KCNU for much of the night, but
anticipate clearing by/around daybreak as low moves away.
Otherwise VFR is forecast throughout the period as the surface
ridge moves across the area with return flow spreading east
throughout the day. -Howerton

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    66  48  78  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      66  48  78  61 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          65  47  77  61 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        65  47  77  61 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   65  48  78  62 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         67  48  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      67  48  81  59 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          66  47  78  61 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       65  47  77  60 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     64  44  77  61 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         63  44  76  60 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            63  44  76  60 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    64  44  77  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for KSZ047-050>053-
067-068.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for KSZ032-033-048-
049.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...PJH



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