Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 241722
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1122 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

...UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 253 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD GET A NICE BOOST TODAY WITH PREMIUM DOWN
SLOPE EFFECTS IN PLAY FROM WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS. MEANWHILE A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY OVER ALBERTA WILL RACE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION FOR TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL
PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS KANSAS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN STORE
ON SUNDAY. IN ADDITION...DEEP ADIABATIC MIXING IN THE 1000-850MB
LAYER WILL TAP INTO STRONGER WIND SPEEDS ALOFT MAKING FOR A WINDY
COOLER DAY. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS
TEMPERATURES REBOUND NICELY ON MONDAY. ONCE AGAIN DOWN SLOPE
EFFECTS WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE WITH EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED...AND SOME LOCATIONS OVER CENTRAL KANSAS COULD APPROACH
70 DEGREES MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 253 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

THE WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR TUE-WED AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE HEARTLAND...HOWEVER COOLER AIR
WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD INTO KANSAS FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY AS THE UPPER
PATTERN CHANGES INTO A NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME. NOT EXPECTING A
MAJOR COOL DOWN THIS PERIOD BUT SOME OF THE LONGER RANGE MODELS
ARE PROJECTING MUCH COLDER AIR EVENTUALLY AFFECTING KANSAS BY NEXT
WEEKEND...STAY TUNED.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THERE WILL BE A GREAT DEAL OF WIND WITH THIS
FRONT...WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 25 TO 35
KTS BEHIND IT AT THE SURFACE AND 50 TO 60 KNOTS AT 850 MB. CIGS
AND VSBYS WILL BE VFR...NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

WIND WILL SUBSIDE AROUND 00Z MONDAY.

KRC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    62  37  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      63  36  51  31 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          62  36  49  31 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        61  37  49  30 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   62  36  53  31 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         64  36  52  33 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      64  36  54  33 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          63  37  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       63  36  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     60  36  52  31 /   0   0   0   0
CHANUTE         59  36  50  29 /   0   0   0   0
IOLA            59  36  49  29 /   0   0  10   0
PARSONS-KPPF    60  35  51  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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