Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 062014
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
214 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 156 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

CLEAR CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE REGION WITH SEASONABLY MILD
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND LOW 50S. TEMPERATURES REMAINED LOWER
OVER THE SNOWPACK ACROSS RSL COUNTY WITH READINGS IN THE 30S.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM DIGGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY WILL DRIVE
A COLD FRONT SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT ON BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL RESULT IN A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS
THE AREA BOTH DAYS. LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP HIGHS
FROM CLIMBING OUT OF THE LOWER 40S ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY.

TUESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY MODERATE INTO THE UPPER 40S AND
LOWER 50S ON TUESDAY ALTHOUGH SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS COULD
DAMPEN THE DIURNAL RISE.


.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 156 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

NORTHWEST MID/UPPER FLOW IS PROGGED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
PERIOD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS
AND SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT MAY BACK INTO THE
REGION TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...HOWEVER THE BETTER PUSH OF
CANADIAN AIR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ONE SHORTWAVE IMPULSE DEPARTING THE
ARKLATEX REGION WITH ANOTHER PIECE OF ENERGY DIVING SOUTHEAST OUT
OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. AN INCREASE IN MID CLOUDS WILL COMMENCE
LATE SUN MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE
MVFR LEVELS. WEST AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL VEER AROUND TO THE NW
SUN MORNING WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH POSSIBLE BY 17Z SUN.

LAWSON


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 156 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE
30S AND 40S PRODUCING A VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER BOTH
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE HIGHEST VALUES WILL OCCUR DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS BOTH DAYS. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED BOTH
DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    31  56  27  43 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      31  55  26  43 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          31  54  25  40 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        31  56  26  42 /   0   0  10   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   31  59  27  44 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         29  42  23  35 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      29  46  24  39 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          31  54  25  41 /   0   0  10   0
MCPHERSON       31  52  25  40 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     33  59  28  42 /   0   0  10   0
CHANUTE         33  57  27  40 /   0   0  10  10
IOLA            33  55  27  38 /   0   0  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    33  57  27  41 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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