Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 271211
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
611 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AS
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TRANSLATES EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA. A SUBTLE TREND UP IN TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WHEN COMPARED TO YESTERDAY WHILE MORE
SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURES RISES CAN BE EXPECTED FRI-SAT AS THE LOW
LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE EXPANDS NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE AREA. DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE
MID/UPPER 60S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

ANOTHER SURGE OF CANADIAN AIR IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON SUNDAY
DRIVING TEMPERATURES INTO THE 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB OUT OF THE LOWER 30S ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA ON MONDAY AS THE SFC RIDGE AXIS SETTLES SOUTH
ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GREAT LAKES AREA LATE IN THE
DAY ON MONDAY. THIS COOL-DOWN IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED AS
SOUTHERLY FLOW IS PROGGED TO RETURN ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO
SEASONABLE NORMALS TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH LOW
PROBABILITIES FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNS NORTH AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL
GREAT BASIN AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

DEEP UPPER TROUGH IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS.
AS THIS HIGH SHIFTS EAST...WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY FLIP AROUND TO
THE SOUTH BY LATE THIS MORNING WITH EXPECTED SPEEDS MUCH LIGHTER
THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT VFR
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD.

LAWSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    49  32  62  39 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      49  29  64  32 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          48  31  59  38 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        48  34  61  42 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   48  33  61  43 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         51  27  67  31 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      53  30  67  34 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          48  29  66  33 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       47  29  62  34 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     47  32  61  46 /   0   0   0   0
CHANUTE         46  29  59  45 /   0   0   0   0
IOLA            44  29  58  44 /   0   0   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    47  30  61  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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