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000
FNUS71 KLWX 181039
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Mills RX...USFS
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
639 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front pushes across the area late Friday night into
early Saturday morning. In the wake, breezy west to northwest
winds are expected. While the current forecast calls for gusts up
to 20 mph during the afternoon, would not be surprised to see
gusts up to 25 to 30 mph based on the pattern. The afternoon RH
values likely fall into the 30 to 35 percent range. Northwest
winds gradually diminish into the mid/late evening as gusts fall
to around 15 to 20 mph. Winds shift to southwest by Sunday
afternoon as high pressure approaches from the west. Min RH values
come up a bit given this shift in the wind fields. Although the
forecast calls for a slight chance of afternoon rain showers, much
of the day should be dry as the rain threat stays off to the
south.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 12 mph, gusts up to 18 mph.
Transport winds.....
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  60  60  60  60  60  60  57  55  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............53  55  58  60  63  65  66  67  68  67
RH..............80  74  64  60  52  48  45  42  40  40
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   8   8   9   10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  12  13  14  15  16  17  18
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10  11
Transp wind dir.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 13 mph
Transport winds.....
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft) early in the evening.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     49     50     47     41     42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............65     59     54     51     48     45
RH..............40     44     48     50     56     62
20 ft wind......W 13   NW 13  NW 12  NW 9   NW 8   NW 6
20 ft wind gust.20     21     20     15     12     8
Eye level wind..W 8    NW 8   NW 7   NW 5   NW 5   NW 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.12     13     12     9      7      5
Transport wind..M      M      M      M      M      M
Haines index....2      2      M      M      M      M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0      0      M      M      M      M
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   M      M      M      M

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 4 mph shifting to the
                    southwest up to 6 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon, then increasing to around 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 7 to 10 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon, then increasing to around 10 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........50     67     63     68     84     82
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      10     10     10     20     20
Temp............43     45     50     55     58     60
RH..............67     62     54     47     44     42
20 ft wind......N 6    N 6    W 7    SW 8   SW 9   SW 10
20 ft wind gust.8      9      13     14     14     15
Eye level wind..N 4    N 4    W 4    SW 5   SW 5   SW 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      5      8      8      8      9
Transport wind..M      M      M      M      M      M
Haines index....M      M      M      M      M      M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..M      M      M      M      M      M
Ventrate Cat....M      M      M      M      M      M

$$
Forecaster...Rubin-Oster
Requested by...Christopher Schultz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411298.0/LWX
.DELDT 04/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Christopher.schultz@usda.gov