912
FXUS62 KMFL 281630
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1230 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...New SHORT TERM, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

The influence of high pressure remains over South Florida as we
enter the work week with surface high pressure remaining situated in
the Western Atlantic. This surface high will slowly weaken as low
pressure over the central United States dissolves and the
combination of that with a weakening surface high will allow windy
conditions to slowly subside. Conditions will remain gusty
today into tonight and breezy into Monday as well.

Other than that, mostly dry weather will continue with isolated
Atlantic showers that could overspread the peninsula during peak
heating with assistance from sea breezes that could develop in the
afternoons. Temperatures will be mostly in the low to mid 80s on
Monday, though portions of Southwest Florida could see temperatures
rise into the upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 305 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Models show deep and broad high pressure in firm control of the
area with a mid level ridge lingering over the eastern seaboard
and sfc high pressure keeping a relatively stable air mass over
Soflo through at least the middle of the work week. As the mid
level ridge slowly migrates east into the Atlantic, pressure
gradients across the state will gradually decrease, with current
periods of breezy conditions subsiding by the Tuesday-Wednesday
timeframe. Low-lvl winds gradually veer SE by this time, allowing
for a very modest moisture advection to briefly raise chances of
rain into the teens, mainly over the east coast. But showers in
general will remain very limited through the long term as
relatively dry/stable air stays in place.

Afternoon high temperatures through Wednesday are expected to
reach the low-mid 80s near the coasts, and upper 80s to around 90
inland. Then by the end of the work week, the mid level ridge
strengthens and drives high temperatures into the upper 80s near
the coasts and low 90s inland.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Generally VFR with a breezy easterly flow. Gusts to around 25-30
kt are possible both around Atlantic showers and outside of
convection today. Brief sub-VFR will be possible with showers that
directly impact a terminal.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Hazardous marine conditions will begin to subside this evening into
Monday. Calmer conditions should return by the middle of this
week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

A high risk for rip currents continues along the Atlantic coast as
gusty onshore winds remain in place on Sunday and into Monday. These
gusty winds will continue to assist in the potential formation of
larger waves in the surf zone up to 7-8 ft, but this risk should
lessen by Sunday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            72  81  73  83 /  20  10  20  20
West Kendall     68  83  69  84 /  20  10  20  20
Opa-Locka        70  83  71  84 /  20  10  20  20
Homestead        71  82  71  83 /  20  10  20  20
Fort Lauderdale  72  80  73  82 /  20  10  20  20
N Ft Lauderdale  71  81  72  82 /  20  10  20  20
Pembroke Pines   71  83  71  85 /  20  10  20  20
West Palm Beach  69  81  70  82 /  20  10  20  20
Boca Raton       71  83  71  83 /  20  10  20  20
Naples           67  87  68  86 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

     High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for AMZ630.

     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....Redman
AVIATION...RAG