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000
FNUS73 KMPX 130727
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for wettlaufer parcel...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
227 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office at 952-361-6671 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
We have issued Red Flag Warning for later today, as breezy and
dry conditions will lead to extreme fire behavior. For this reason,
burning is not recommended.

Winds will become more southerly and eventually southwest later
in the day. Speeds will increase as well, with afternoon gusts
near 25 to 30 mph. RH values will drop into the lower 20s
during the afternoon, leading to elevated fire weather conditions
for the afternoon and early evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........51 at ignition...Max 80.
RH..................52 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 15 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /11000 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /97400 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (116200 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 29 mph shifting to the southwest 30
                    to 31 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 6.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  57  62  67  71  76  78  79  80  79  78  73
RH..............52  45  38  34  31  28  27  27  26  27  28  40
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..15  18  18  18  18  20  20  18  18  16  14  13
20 FT wind gust.22  26  26  26  26  28  28  28  28  24  22  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.6 4.3 4.2 1.2 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  24  25  29  28  28  30  30  31  29  20  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Min 50.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    north 9 to 10 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (106200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (7300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft) in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 29 mph decreasing to 14 to 16
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    northwest 12 to 13 mph overnight shifting to
                    the north 13 to 15 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Max 74.
RH..................Min 27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (74900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Beitlich
Requested by...Bryan Gregor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410540.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bgregor158@gmail.com