693
FNUS75 KMSO 081956
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Hall Gulch
National Weather Service Missoula MT
156 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...As of now, the ridge of high pressure expected
through Monday looks to break down Monday night through Tuesday
morning. Confidence is low in the timing of this breakdown at this
time due to model discrepancy. With the timing of the associated
frontal passage anticipated sometime early Tuesday, winds will be
gusty along and behind the front (so a windy day Tuesday should be
expected.) A wind shift from south-southwesterly to westerly will
also take place Tuesday into Wednesday. In addition, models depict
the nose of the jet stream crossing the region on Wednesday,
which will keep winds elevated and gusty throughout the day
Wednesday and possibly into Thursday as well.

Minimum Humidity during each afternoon Tuesday through Thursday
will be in the upper 20 to mid 30 percent range. Wednesday will
see cloudy conditions and a low probability for showers impacting
the burn site, which could keep MinRH higher than currently
forecast.

As for daytime temperatures during this forecast period: the burn
site will see a brief "cool down" in max temps on Tuesday due to
the ridge breakdown and frontal passage. That being said,
temperatures will steadily warm back into the mid to upper 70s
Weds and Thurs afternoons.

Unfortunately, forecast data for Thursday (May 16) is out of our
forecast period, so it is not listed below. Other data is also
written as "missing" due to the timeframe of this forecast.


.TUESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...MISSING.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....58-63.
* Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 9-15 mph. Gusts to 25 mph
  possible.
* Mixing Height.......MISSING.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph increasing to west 20 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...MISSING.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Min Temperature.....39-44.
* Max Humidity........67-72 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 9-16 mph. Gusts to 15-20 mph
  possible.
* Mixing Height.......MISSING.
* Mixing Winds........West 15 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the
  afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...MISSING.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....60-65.
* Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 8-15 mph.
* Mixing Height.......MISSING.
* Mixing Winds........North 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...MISSING.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Min Temperature.....41-46.
* Max Humidity........66-71 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 10-14 mph in the evening.
* Mixing Height.......MISSING.
* Mixing Winds........West 15 mph.
* Precip Amount.......MISSING.

$$
Forecaster...Allegretto
Requested by...Lorie Cotter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413519.0/MSO
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lorie.cotter@usda.gov