Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 271731
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1231 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Surface high pressure is sitting to our west and will continue to
build over the area into the weekend. This will bring a stretch of
dry weather. Clear skies and light winds tonight with bring
maximum radiational cooling and we will see lows fall into the
low to mid 30s. It`s early in the growing season but went ahead
and issued a Frost Advisory. Plenty of sun tomorrow with highs
in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Great weather is expected as we head into the end of the week and
the weekend as a strong ridge builds overhead. This will bring
warming temperatures and we will see them push back into the 70s
Friday and up to near 80s Sunday and Monday.

The forecast will become more active again early next week as a
trough tracks out of the southwest into the Midwest. This will
push a cold front into Middle TN in the Monday/Tuesday time frame.
Ensembles are still struggling with the exact timing but most
likely pushing through later Monday into Tuesday morning.
Ensembles are also showing 200-500 j/kg of CAPE and good bulk
shear on Monday ahead of the front with the highest CAPE in
western areas. Still a lot of uncertainty on if we will see strong
storms but the potential is there. In the wake of this system, a
return to dry and cooler conditions is likely for the rest of next
week as deep northwest flow develops aloft.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

VFR conditions at all sites today as high pressure moves into the
area. A few low clouds may pass over CKV this morning, but the
remainder of the day should be mostly clear at all sites with
light winds out of the NNW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      60  36  63  41 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    58  32  62  41 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     60  34  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       60  34  63  37 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     58  35  58  38 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      58  33  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   60  36  62  38 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   60  34  63  36 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        58  34  63  40 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-
Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-
Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-
Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van
Buren-Warren-Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Whitehead


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