658
FNUS71 KOKX 010753
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Sarnoff West Block N NW RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
353 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected into this evening. Light NE winds
this morning will become E 5-10 mph late morning into the early
afternoon. Winds likely become SE after 4pm before diminishing
after sunset.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 67.
RH..................80 percent at ignition...Min 56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds around 5
                    mph shifting to the southeast around 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 8
                    to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /20200 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  66  59  57  54  52  47  43  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  59  62  64  66  67  66  64  62
RH..............80  75  67  63  58  56  56  58  60
20 FT wind dir..030 030 040 050 080 100 100 120 130
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6       7   7   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.8 4.0 3.5 2.7 1.9
Transp wind dir.010 010 010 030 080 100 110 140 150
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   8   7   7   7   8   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   9   13  17  19  20  18  14  11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39  39  40  45  50  55  55  56  56  60  63  67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  57  54  52  50  49  48  47  47  46  46  46
RH..............64  69  74  80  83  86  89  93  93  96  96  96
20 FT wind dir..130 130 140 140 140 140 140 140 140 140 150 150
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.150 140 130 140 140 140 140 140 140 140 150 150
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  12  10  9   8   8   9   9   10  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  12  11  7   3   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 8 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 18 mph shifting to the southwest 10
                    to 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  74  78  76  74  72  61  51  40  38  35  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  49  52  54  57  59  62  65  67  68  69  68
RH..............93  89  83  80  75  72  67  60  56  54  51  52
20 FT wind dir..160 170 180 190 200 210 210 210 210 210 230 230
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.8   10  10  10  10  10  11  11  12  11  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.7
Transp wind dir.160 180 180 190 200 210 210 220 220 230 250 260
Transp wind spd.13  14  16  17  17  18  18  18  17  15  13  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...DS
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412854.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov