Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

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FNCA72 TJSJ 071150
FWSSJU

Spot Forecast for Caneel Bay Incident...National Park Service
National Weather Service San Juan PR
750 AM AST Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 AST on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast at
PHONE: 787-253-4586.

.DISCUSSION...Although partly cloudy skies and isolated showers
have prevailed during the morning hours, wet and unstable weather
conditions persist. Therefore, showers and isolated thunderstorms
could develop over the local waters, moving over Caneel Bay at
times as early as noon today, and should last through the late
afternoon/evening hours. Lightning, gusty winds and minor
flooding is possible with this activity.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    late in the morning, then scattered showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Heat index..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 12 to 14 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Wave period.........0 SECONDS.

TIME (AST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  30  30  70  70  70  70  70  70
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............84  85  86  86  87  87  87  86  84
RH..............73  71  68  67  66  66  67  68  72
Heat index (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  13  12  12  13  13  14
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  17  16  16  17  18  20
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.13  13  13  13  12  12  13  13  14
Surface wnd gst.17  17  17  17  16  16  17  18  20
Wave period (s).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers in the
                    evening. Isolated thunderstorms through the
                    night. Numerous showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Heat index..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 8 to 14 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Wave period.........0 SECONDS.

TIME (AST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 70  70  70  70  70  70  80  80  80
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80  80  50  50  50  50  50  50  60  60  60
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............82  81  80  79  78  78  77  77  76  76  76  77
RH..............76  79  81  84  86  88  90  91  93  93  93  89
Heat index (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  13  13  13  13  12  12  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.20  18  18  18  17  17  17  16  13  12  10  9
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.14  14  14  13  13  13  13  12  12  10  9   8
Surface wnd gst.20  18  18  18  17  17  17  16  13  12  10  9
Wave period (s).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers
                    early in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Scattered showers in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Heat index..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 6 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Wave period.........0 SECONDS.

TIME (AST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  80  80  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Weather cov.....NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............79  81  82  84  85  86  86  87  87  87  86  84
RH..............84  80  76  72  69  66  64  64  64  66  68  72
Heat index (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   6   6   7   9   10  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   8   7   7   8   10  12  13  17  17
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.8   8   8   7   6   6   7   9   10  12  13  13
Surface wnd gst.9   9   9   8   7   7   8   10  12  13  17  17
Wave period (s).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...C. VILLANUEVA-BIRRIEL
Requested by...Nicholas Money
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2413331.0/SJU
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nicholas_money@nps.gov