189
FNUS75 KSLC 171351
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for North Fork...Color country Interagency fire center
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
751 AM MDT Fri May 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will remain in place today resulting in
mostly clear skies and dry conditions along with gusty west/southwest winds,
but a cold front will be moving into northern and central Utah this
evening. This front is expected to make it roughly to Beaver or
northern Iron county before stalling. This would leave the spot location
dry with westerly gusty winds during the day with weakening winds overnight.

It`s worth noting that ~40% of guidance does have the front getting
slightly further south and approaching the Zion area just after sunset.
This front is pretty dry but high-based convection will be possible.
Little in the way of precipitation reaching the ground, but gusty
outflow winds from nearby storms will be the main threat in addition to a
shift to more northerly winds behind the front. These
high-based storms will fizzle out overnight. This front is expected to
retreat further north on Saturday, but can`t rule out a stray storm
developing during the afternoon if the front is slow to shift north.
As the front retreats further north on Saturday winds will transition to
more of a southwesterly component with gusts near 20 mph remaining.

Again, it`s most likely this front will stay north of the location resulting
in dry and breezy conditions.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent cloud cover).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent rising to 30% in the evening.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........13-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds becoming west/southwest 8-13
                    mph with gusts to around 20 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........5.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent cloud cover).
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent before midnight and 0 percent overnight.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....51-53.
Max humidity........46-48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West/southwest winds 5-11 mph becoming south 1-4 mph
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent cloud cover) then
                    becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent cloud
                    cover).
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........14-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds up to 5 mph becoming southwest 6-12
                    mph with gusts near 20 mph in the late morning
and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 12 mph becoming southwest around
                    22 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5.

$$
Forecaster...Mahan
Requested by...Devin Johnson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414503.0/SLC
.DELDT 05/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL utcdc@firenet.gov