764
FNUS74 KTSA 220904
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Hubbard Burn...Arkansas Department of Agriculture Forestry
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
404 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Surface high pressure exits Northwest Arkansas this morning with a
return of southerly winds. Southerly winds continue into Tuesday
ahead of a cold front forecast to reach Northwest Arkansas Tuesday
evening. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms are forecast
Tuesday evening/night with the front.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (45245 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (80655 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).60 increasing to 66 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   1   1   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  58  61  63  64  65  66  66
Dewpoint........32  32  32  33  34  35  36  36
RH..............40  37  33  32  32  33  33  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  11  11  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.9 4.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  13  13  15  15  17  18  18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..45  45  45  81  81  81  81  81
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD
1700FT Mix T(F).56  58  60  63  64  65  66  67

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Dewpoint............39.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (80655 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4590 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).65.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   2   0   1   0   1   4   2   1   1   2   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  64  60  58  56  55  54  52  52  51  51  50
Dewpoint........38  39  38  38  38  38  39  39  39  39  40  40
RH..............37  40  44  47  51  53  57  61  61  63  66  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  10  8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  14  14  14  12  11  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.18  14  13  13  13  13  12  10  10  9   10  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..81  12  12  12  12  12  12  5   5   5   5   5
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).68  68  67  67  66  65  64  64  63  63  63  62

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Dewpoint............43 increasing to 55.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph shifting to the southwest 20
                    to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4590 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (104918 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).64 increasing to 72 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   3   3   7   16  17  17  30  44  57  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  51  53  57  62  66  69  71  72  72  73  72
Dewpoint........42  41  43  45  48  50  52  54  55  56  57  57
RH..............71  68  69  64  60  56  55  55  55  57  57  59
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   9   12  14  14  14  14  13  13  12  10
20 FT wind gust.11  11  14  18  20  21  21  20  19  19  18  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.5 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  18  23  24  25  26  26  25  23  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   79  79  79  79  79  79  105 105 105 105 105
Ventrate Cat....PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT Mix T(F).62  62  61  61  62  65  68  71  72  73  73  74

$$
Forecaster...JANKOWSKI
Requested by...Jerald McBride
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411645.0/TSA
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jerald.McBride@agriculture.arkansas.gov