263
FNUS75 KTWC 112149
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Toyo Fire...San Carlos Reservation
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
249 PM MST Sat May 11 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MST on May 11.

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty westerly winds will slowly diminish this evening and become
more northwesterly and northerly. Gusty west winds will return
tomorrow afternoon but not quite as strong. A shallow moisture
increase overnight will help recoveries a bit more in the early
morning hours. Fire weather conditions will likely again approach
critical levels tomorrow afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....86-88 degrees.
Min humidity........9-11 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......13000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 17 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....52-55 degrees.
Max humidity........36-39 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the evening. Diminishing and becoming
                    northerly in the early morning hours.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....88-91 degrees.
Min humidity........9-12 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds 4 to 8 mph shifting to the west 10
                    to 14 mph with gusts to around 20 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 knots.

$$
Forecaster...MEYER
Requested by...Julian Red Buffalo
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413778.1/TWC
.DELDT 05/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson