Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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782
FXUS62 KFFC 261145
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
740 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

A broad upper ridge should persist over the southeast during the
short term. A weak short wave crossing the southern Appalachians
today could support widely scattered showers and thunderstorms today
into the evening. Have continued with chance pops much of northeast
where best cape and better moisture is indicated. Otherwise...slight
chance for most of the remainder of the forecast area. For Friday no
big changes are expected. Still looking at best moisture and
dynamics vicinity of the Appalachians...with ridging dominating the
remainder of the area. Have confined pops on Friday to the area
from Atlanta to Athens and north. Have stayed close to mav/met
compromise.

41

.LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...

Extended forecast period continues to be dominated by the western
Atlantic low. GFS and ECMWF both show the primary impacts from this
system remaining east of the forecast area through the period. The
weekend still looks like a quieter period as we are under the
influence of subsidence along the periphery of the system and
somewhat stable easterly low-level flow. Upper low and surface
reflection really do not make it further west than the Carolina/
Georgia coast or maybe the Carolina low-country. By Monday through
Thursday model instability increases some as well as deeper moisture
over the forecast area and we lose the subsidence over the state so
at least scattered...somewhat diurnal in nature...convection still
looks probable.

20


&&


AVIATION...
12Z Update...
Expecting vfr through the period. Some mid/high clouds this morning
with a few showers that were mostly not reaching the ground. Diurnal
cumulus 040-050 this afternoon. Convective potential too marginal
to mention at any site...however best chances should remain
north of KATL-KAHN. Winds should prevail just west of south and 10kt or
less. Would not be surprised to see them swing temporarily to southeast.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High on all elements except medium on wind direction.

41

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          88  64  86  63 /  30  20  20  10
Atlanta         87  66  86  65 /  20  10  20  10
Blairsville     82  61  82  59 /  30  20  30  20
Cartersville    88  65  87  63 /  20  10  20  20
Columbus        88  67  88  66 /  20  10  10   5
Gainesville     86  65  86  63 /  30  20  20  20
Macon           90  63  89  64 /  20  10   5   5
Rome            89  64  87  63 /  20  10  30  20
Peachtree City  87  63  86  63 /  20  10  20  10
Vidalia         89  64  87  65 /  20   5   5   5

&&


.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...41



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