Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 221456 AAB
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1056 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.UPDATE...
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NW AND A DRY
FORECAST...THERE WAS LITTLE TO ADJUST IN THE MORNING UPDATE. ONLY
CHANGES WERE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HOURLY TRENDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
/ISSUED 312 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014/
VERY DRY AND COOL FORECAST ON TAP FOR THE SHORT TERM AS STRONG
RIDGING CONTINUES INTO THE CWA FROM THE NORTH ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF
A DEEPENING CUTOFF LOW IMPACTING NEW ENGLAND. BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOWING
CONTINUED EXTREMELY DRY PROFILES AND ANY HIND OF MOISTURE IS ONLY BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHERE WE MAY GET SOME CIRRUS.

MAIN CONCERN IS WITH FROST POTENTIAL THURSDAY MORNING AS SOME OF THE
COLDEST TEMPS OF THE SEASON LOOK TO BE REACHED WITH OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING...AFOREMENTIONED RIDGING...AND CALM TO LIGHT WINDS. LATEST
GUIDANCE HAS COME IN SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS ALSO. MID
30S LOOK TO BE POSSIBLE FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA ALONG WITH
LOW 30S POSSIBLE FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST GA. HAVE
INCLUDED PATCHY FROST MENTION FOR NOW...THOUGH TRENDS IN GUIDANCE
LATER TODAY WILL BE MONITORED FOR EXTENT OF POTENTIAL FROST ADVISORY
ISSUANCE.

BAKER

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
/ISSUED 312 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014/
CONTINUED DRY FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE LONG TERM.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE LONG TERM...BUT TWO COLD
FRONTS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT GA DURING THE PERIOD. AN EARLY WEEKEND
COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY...BUT
PRECIPITATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. A SECOND COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE
PRODUCING SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT CHANCES
REMAIN TOO SMALL TO MENTION AT THIS TIME.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNINGS CURRENTLY HAVE THE COLDEST MIN TEMPS.
WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS...IF TEMPS ARE COLDER THEN
PATCHY/AREAS OF FROST MAY BE AN ISSUE FOR THE NORTHEAST GA MTNS.
HIGH TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
/ISSUED 744 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH PERIOD.
WINDS MAINLY NNW THOUGH COULD BE CLOSE TO NORTH OR SLIGHTLY EAST
OF NORTH BRIEFLY FOR NORTHERN SITES. MAGNITUDES GENERALLY 7-11 KTS
WITH LOWER VALUES AT SOUTHERN SITES TODAY THEN LIGHT TO CALM
OVERNIGHT.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH ALL ELEMENTS.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          68  40  71  45 /   0   0   0   5
ATLANTA         67  45  70  50 /   0   0   0   5
BLAIRSVILLE     61  33  67  39 /   0   0   0   5
CARTERSVILLE    67  36  69  42 /   0   0   0   5
COLUMBUS        72  44  72  49 /   0   0   0   5
GAINESVILLE     66  42  68  48 /   0   0   0   5
MACON           72  38  72  43 /   0   0   0   5
ROME            67  38  70  43 /   0   0   0   5
PEACHTREE CITY  69  36  70  41 /   0   0   0   5
VIDALIA         71  46  73  48 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...11





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