Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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ALC001-005>011-015>021-027-029-037-047-051-055-057-
063-065-073-075-081-085>093-101-105>127-311200-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1025 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...SEVERE DROUGHT EASING SOMEWHAT IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...

SYNOPSIS...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA BUT HAVE IMPROVED SOME DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. THE LATEST
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR NOW INDICATES THAT SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
EXIST TO THE LEFT OF A LINE FROM NEAR CENTRE TO DEARMANVILLE TO WEST
OF CHANDLER SPRINGS TO JACKSON`S GAP TO LAFAYETTE TO BLEECKER AND
ALSO IN PORTIONS OF SHELBY AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES. SEVERE DROUGHT IS
ALSO INDICATED IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF LAMAR COUNTY. MODERATE DROUGHT
IS INDICATED EAST OF A LINE FROM WEST OF CENTRE TO GLENCOE TO LOCUST
FORK TO WOODSTOCK TO BILLINGSLEY TO VARNONS TO WEST OF LOACHAPKA TO
PHENIX CITY. MODERATE DROUGHT IS ALSO INDICATED WEST OF A LINE FROM
PICKENSVILLE TO BRILLIANT TO WEST OF HACKLEBURG. REMAINING AREAS ARE
INDICATED TO BE NEAR NORMAL TO ABNORMALLY DRY.

THE DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIES DROUGHT WITHIN ONE OF THESE FIVE
CATEGORIES:

D0...ABNORMALLY DRY
D1...MODERATE DROUGHT
D2...SEVERE DROUGHT
D3...EXTREME DROUGHT
D4...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

IN GENERAL...MOST AREAS RECEIVED RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK FROM
SCATTERED SUMMERTIME CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
CUMULATIVE RAINFALL TOTALS IN MOST PLACES AVERAGED FROM ONE TO THREE
INCHES ALTHOUGH SOME LOCALIZED AREAS RECEIVED LESS. THIS RAINFALL
HAS RESULTED IN SOME IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS FOUND
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA BUT HAS NOT ELIMINATED IT.

SOME PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (INCHES) FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA SINCE
JANUARY 1ST...

BIRMINGHAM    35.01
MONTGOMERY    33.04
ANNISTON      25.86
TUSCALOOSA    31.74
CALERA        30.83
TROY          32.64

NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED (INCHES) AND DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL
(INCHES) JANURARY 1ST THROUGH AUGUST 24TH...

BIRMINGHAM    36.27  DOWN 1.26
MONTGOMERY    35.83  DOWN 2.79
ANNISTON      34.23  DOWN 8.37
TUSCALOOSA    35.17  DOWN 3.43
CALERA        37.04  DOWN 6.21
TROY          37.19  DOWN 4.55

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE LATEST UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (USDA) REPORT
INDICATES THAT CROPS HAVE SHOWN SOME IMPROVEMENT IN LOCALIZED AREAS DUE
TO RECENT RAINFALL. HOWEVER THE RAINFALL HAS COME TOO LATE TO HELP SOME
CROPS SUCH AS CORN. PASTURES ARE STILL HURTING IN SOME AREAS AND RAIN
HAS HAMPERED SOME HAY CUTTING.

THE LATEST REPORTS FROM THE USDA (FROM AUGUST 22, 2016)

             PERCENT POOR OR WORSE     PERCENT FAIR OR BETTER

CATTLE                9                          91
PASTURE &            27                          73
RANGE
COTTON                7                          93
SOYBEANS             11                          89
PEANUTS               0                         100

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

THE FIRE DANGER RISK ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA HAS REMAINED HIGH ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA DESPITE THE RECENT RAINFALL.
KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES (KBDI) GENERALLY RANGE FROM 400 TO 600
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA AND BELOW 400 ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN SECTIONS. VALUES ABOVE 500 INDICATE A SEVERE FIRE DANGER.

THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION REPORTS THAT THERE IS NO FIRE-ALERT
OR DROUGHT EMERGENCY CURRENTLY ISSUED. HOWEVER THE STATE FORESTER IS
STILL URGING EVERYONE TO USE ALL NECESSARY SAFETY PRECAUTIONS WHEN
DOING ANY TYPE OF OUTDOOR BURNING.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

STREAM FLOWS REPORTED BY USGS GAGES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING NEAR NORMAL
ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. HOWEVER MOST GAGES IN
EASTERN SECTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA CONTINUE TO INDICATE BELOW NORMAL
STREAMFLOWS.

IN GENERAL MOST MAJOR RESERVOIRS ARE NEAR THEIR SUMMER POOL LEVELS
ALTHOUGH SOME ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME SMALL DECLINES. DURING THE
PAST TWO WEEKS SOME SMALL DECLINES HAVE BEEN INDICATED IN RESERVOIRS ON
THE COOSA RIVER. LISTED BELOW ARE CURRENT LEVELS FOR SOME OF THE MAJOR
RESERVOIRS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND LEVELS FROM AUGUST 11TH:

RESERVOIR             LEVEL FOR 08/25/16     LEVEL FOR 08/11/16

WEISS                       562.7                   563.2
NEELY HENRY                 506.7                   507.2
LOGAN MARTIN                463.7                   464.2
LAY                         395.9                   395.8
MITCHELL                    311.8                   311.9
JORDAN                      251.5                   251.4
R.L.HARRIS                  791.3                   791.4
MARTIN                      488.0                   488.1
SMITH                       503.0                   504.1
BANKHEAD                    255.0                   254.8
HOLT                        186.7                   186.5

SOCIAL IMPACTS...

MOST AREA RESERVOIR LEVELS ARE AT OR NEAR THEIR SUMMER POOL
LEVELS...ALTHOUGH SOME ARE SLOWLY DECLINING DUE TO THE DRY CONDITIONS
EXPERIENCED THIS SUMMER AND LOW STREAMFLOWS. HOWEVER...CURRENTLY THERE
IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF MUNICIPAL WATER SHORTAGES.

PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

WEAK RIDGING ALOFT WILL PREVAIL INTO THE WEEKEND...AND THIS WILL KEEP
RAIN CHANCES ON THE LOW SIDE FOR ANY ONE LOCATION. ONLY ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES DURING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE HIGHLY
DEPENDENT ON WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY
LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-
NORTHWEST TOWARD FLORIDA AND POSSIBLY THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

THE TWO WEEK OUTLOOK...FROM AUGUST 30TH THROUGH SEPTEMBER 7TH...CALLS
FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES
TRANSITIONING TO NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

THE LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK FOR THE REMAINDER OF SEPTEMBER THROUGH
NOVEMBER IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION.

THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK THROUGH NOVEMBER INDICATES THAT IN
GENERAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND POSSIBLY EXPAND IN COVERAGE.

UPDATE STATEMENT...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY AROUND THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 8TH.


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